La Liga · 2023

Villarreal 3–1 Osasuna · La Liga

3–1Historical match

Osasuna

LWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Villarreal won 3–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
2.521.02
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Villarreal beat Osasuna 3–1. Recorded in this match (Villarreal – Osasuna): shots 10–15, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 2.52–1.02, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Villarreal's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Villarreal's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.29 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.29 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsVillarreal 10 shots, Osasuna 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsVillarreal 3 shots, Osasuna 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.52 xG1.02 xGVillarreal 2.52 xG, Osasuna 1.02 xG
  • Possession45%55%Villarreal 45%, Osasuna 55%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersVillarreal 2 corners, Osasuna 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsVillarreal 9 fouls, Osasuna 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Aimar Oroz · Osasuna · 9′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLucas Torró · Osasuna · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJohan Mojica · Osasuna · 54′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJesús Areso · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLucas Torró · Osasuna · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlex Baena · Villarreal · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGerard Moreno · Villarreal · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 32′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 9′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlfonso Pedraza · Villarreal · 13′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.11 xG · goalRubén Peña · Osasuna · 30′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 25′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRaúl Albiol · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 80′ · 0.24 xG · goalJuan Foyth · Villarreal · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJosé Luis Morales · Villarreal · 71′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Villarreal: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.55 xG. Osasuna: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.00 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′José Luis Morales · Villarreal · 71′José Luis Morales · Villarreal · 80′Alejandro Catena · Osasuna · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Villarreal 1.55 xG · Osasuna 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Villarreal
0Draws
2Osasuna
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga0–3
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga2–0
Osasuna — Villarreal · La Liga1–0
Villarreal — Osasuna · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Villarreal favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Osasuna in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Villarreal14 matchesOsasuna14 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.14 goals/match
1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.71 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.09 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots14/1411.5 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.43 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession14/1448.1%
5.21 corners/match ●Corners14/144.21 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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