PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

WLLDL
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaReal Sociedad
Shots9 shots/match17 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.69 xG/match1.77 xG/match▲
Possession28%72%●
Corners1 corners/match8 corners/match●
Fouls12 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Lucas Torró · Osasuna · 29′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHamari Traoré · Real Sociedad · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Real Sociedad · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArsen Zakharyan · Real Sociedad · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAihen Muñoz · Real Sociedad · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 41′ · 0.06 xG · goalTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Catena · Osasuna · 85′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNacho Vidal · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKieran Tierney · Real Sociedad · 61′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 7′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 7′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Real Sociedad · 89′ · 0.18 xG · on targetMoi Gómez · Osasuna · 2′ · 0.24 xG · goalUmar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 27′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMikel Merino · Real Sociedad · 61′ · 0.61 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.68 xG. Real Sociedad: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Moi Gómez · Osasuna · 2′Umar Sadiq · Real Sociedad · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 0.68 xG · Real Sociedad 1.90 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.7%PossessionOsasuna · Real Sociedad●54.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaReal SociedadBaseline
Possession46.7%54.8%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna
0Draws
4Real Sociedad
Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2
Real Sociedad — Osasuna · La Liga2–0
Real Sociedad — Osasuna · La Liga1–0
Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 8 · 4 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/15▲1.73 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.2 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/15▲1.38 xG/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.17 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/15▲12.3 shots/match
11.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1512 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/15▲4.4 shots/match
3.53 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 15/154.47 shots/match
46.7%Possessionseason · 15/15●54.8%
4 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/15●4.67 corners/match
5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/15▲3.53 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1516.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1527%
73%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/15▲87%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna42.5
Real Sociedad77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna27.5
Real Sociedad57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna57.5
Real Sociedad55.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna42.5
Real Sociedad17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna67.5
Real Sociedad92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna25
Real Sociedad50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna34.4
Real Sociedad60.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna15 matchesReal Sociedad15 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.73 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.2 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲1.38 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots15/15▲12.3 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲4.4 shots/match
46.7%Possession15/15●54.8%
4 corners/matchCorners15/15●4.67 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1516.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna8 matchesReal Sociedad7 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/7▲1.29 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲1.14 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲1.46 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots8/712.6 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target8/73.57 shots/match
46.5%Possession8/7●55.9%
4.88 corners/match●Corners8/74.86 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/716.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.29 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.2 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsOsasunaReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match