La Liga · 2023Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

LWDLW

2–1Full-time recap

Sevilla

DDDDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Sevilla
Shots	11 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.7 xG/match▲	0.59 xG/match
Possession	49%	51%●
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	22 fouls/match	8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla have a visible away split

moderate

Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.3 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Sociedad

2Draws

0Sevilla

4 Jun 2023Real Sociedad — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

9 Nov 2022Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–2

20 Mar 2022Sevilla — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–0

19 Sept 2021Real Sociedad — Sevilla · La Liga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 4 too close

1.79 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/131.46 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/131.46 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/131.14 xG/match

1.2 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 14/131.52 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/13▲15.8 shots/match

12.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1312.4 shots/match

4.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/13▲5.15 shots/match

4.57 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/13▲4.08 shots/match

53.6%Possessionseason · 14/13●54.8%

4.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 14/13●6.15 corners/match

3.71 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/134.69 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

17.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1312.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

29%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1315%

86%Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad67.5

Sevilla77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad56.7

Sevilla75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad57.5

Sevilla46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad17.5

Sevilla82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5

Sevilla42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad42.5

Sevilla97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad58.1

Sevilla75.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad14 matchesSevilla13 matches

1.79 goals/match▲Goals scored14/131.46 goals/match

1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/131.46 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.14 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots14/13▲15.8 shots/match

4.36 shots/matchShots on target14/13▲5.15 shots/match

53.6%Possession14/13●54.8%

4.43 corners/matchCorners14/13●6.15 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

17.2 fouls/matchFouls14/1312.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad8 matchesSevilla6 matches

2.13 goals/match▲Goals scored8/61.17 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/61.67 goals/match

1.32 xG/match▲Expected goals8/60.87 xG/match

12.1 shots/matchShots8/6▲13.3 shots/match

5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target8/64.17 shots/match

53.9%Possession8/6●56.8%

4.5 corners/match●Corners8/64.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFouls8/611.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4