PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Real Betis 1–0 Las Palmas · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 1–0.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.440.63
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Las Palmas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Las Palmas): shots 12–15, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.44–0.63, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.79 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsReal Betis 12 shots, Las Palmas 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsReal Betis 6 shots, Las Palmas 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG0.63 xGReal Betis 1.44 xG, Las Palmas 0.63 xG
  • Possession39%61%Real Betis 39%, Las Palmas 61%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersReal Betis 7 corners, Las Palmas 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsReal Betis 7 fouls, Las Palmas 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis14 matchesLas Palmas14 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.79 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/140.88 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots14/1410.6 shots/match
3.93 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.36 shots/match
51.1%Possession14/14● 58.4%
5.29 corners/match ●Corners14/144.14 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal BetisLas Palmas
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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