La Liga · 2023Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Betis

DDWWD

1–0Full-time recap

Las Palmas

WLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Betis	Las Palmas
Shots	12 shots/match	15 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.44 xG/match▲	0.63 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	7 corners/match●	6 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.79 goals/match	1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.3 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 1 · 4 too close

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/140.79 goals/match

1.14 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 14/14▲0.93 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/140.88 xG/match

1.15 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.19 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 14/1410.6 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1411.9 shots/match

3.93 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 14/143.36 shots/match

3.93 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 14/144.36 shots/match

51.1%Possessionseason · 14/14●58.4%

5.29 corners/match●Cornersseason · 14/144.14 corners/match

5.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/145.86 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1411 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/1414%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1450%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis52.5

Las Palmas92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis47.5

Las Palmas10.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis65

Las Palmas66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis57.5

Las Palmas2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis27.5

Las Palmas17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis72.5

Las Palmas27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis47.5

Las Palmas17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis14 matchesLas Palmas14 matches

1.29 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.79 goals/match

1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲0.93 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals14/140.88 xG/match

13.2 shots/match▲Shots14/1410.6 shots/match

3.93 shots/match▲Shots on target14/143.36 shots/match

51.1%Possession14/14●58.4%

5.29 corners/match●Corners14/144.14 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis7 matchesLas Palmas8 matches

1.43 goals/match▲Goals scored7/80.63 goals/match

0.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/81.13 goals/match

1.48 xG/match▲Expected goals7/80.81 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots7/810.8 shots/match

4.29 shots/match▲Shots on target7/82.88 shots/match

53.4%Possession7/8●56.3%

5.57 corners/match●Corners7/83.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.9 fouls/matchFouls7/810.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115.1 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4