La Liga · 2023Fri, 1 Dec 2023, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

Getafe

DDWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLas PalmasGetafe
Shots11 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.54 xG/match0.95 xG/match
Possession71%29%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Omar Alderete · Getafe · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDamián Suárez · Getafe · 22′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Park · Las Palmas · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego Rico · Getafe · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGastón Álvarez · Getafe · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBorja Mayoral · Getafe · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Getafe · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChoco Lozano · Getafe · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Getafe · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Getafe · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 72′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSergi Cardona · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Getafe · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNemanja Maksimović · Getafe · 90′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJulián Araujo · Las Palmas · 43′ · 0.32 xG · goalBorja Mayoral · Getafe · 54′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedCristian Herrera · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.51 xG. Getafe: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Julián Araujo · Las Palmas · 43′Cristian Herrera · Las Palmas · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.51 xG · Getafe 0.97 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Getafe's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Getafe have a visible away split

moderate

Getafe's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.88 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.88 shots/match11.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.2%PossessionLas Palmas · Getafe40.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasGetafeBaseline
Possession59.2%40.9%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Getafe in 6 · 3 too close

0.87 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 15/151.13 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 15/151.33 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 15/151.08 xG/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/151.42 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 15/1511.2 shots/match
11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/1512.5 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 15/154 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/154.87 shots/match
59.2%Possessionseason · 15/1540.9%
4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 15/153.53 corners/match
5.73 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 15/155.4 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1517.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/1533%
53%Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1567%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas92.5
Getafe7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas12.5
Getafe29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas67.5
Getafe40.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas2.5
Getafe72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas17.5
Getafe92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas27.5
Getafe7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas18.8
Getafe40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas15 matchesGetafe15 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.13 goals/match
0.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.33 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals15/151.08 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots15/1511.2 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target15/154 shots/match
59.2%Possession15/1540.9%
4.13 corners/matchCorners15/153.53 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls15/1517.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas7 matchesGetafe8 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/81.13 goals/match
0.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/82 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals7/81 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots7/88.88 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/83.5 shots/match
62.6%Possession7/836%
5 corners/matchCorners7/82.63 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.4 fouls/matchFouls7/817.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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