PitchMath
La Liga · 2023Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGirona FCValencia
Shots9 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.64 xG/match▲0.98 xG/match
Possession76%●24%
Corners3 corners/match●2 corners/match
Fouls6 fouls/match7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Gabriel Paulista · Valencia · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Girona FC · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSavinho · Girona FC · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDiego López · Valencia · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHugo Duro · Valencia · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFran Pérez · Valencia · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Gutiérrez · Girona FC · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIván Martín · Girona FC · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Girona FC · 55′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJavier Guerra · Valencia · 53′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 2′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArtem Dovbyk · Girona FC · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 81′ · 0.21 xG · on targetDimitri Foulquier · Valencia · 76′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 88′ · 0.33 xG · goalHugo Duro · Valencia · 56′ · 0.41 xG · goalCristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 82′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Girona FC: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.69 xG. Valencia: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Cristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 82′Cristhian Stuani · Girona FC · 88′Hugo Duro · Valencia · 56′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Girona FC 1.69 xG · Valencia 0.99 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Girona FC have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.1%●PossessionGirona FC · Valencia46.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGirona FCValenciaBaseline
Possession58.1%46.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Girona FC
0Draws
1Valencia
Girona FC — Valencia · La Liga1–0
Valencia — Girona FC · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Girona FC favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 4 · 2 too close

2.27 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 15/151.13 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 15/151.33 goals/match
1.88 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 15/151.1 xG/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 15/15▲1.11 xG/match
13.4 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 15/1510.2 shots/match
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 15/15▲9.67 shots/match
4.93 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 15/153.53 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 15/15▲3.87 shots/match
58.1%●Possessionseason · 15/1546.5%
4.67 corners/match●Cornersseason · 15/153.4 corners/match
4.33 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 15/154.93 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 15/1513.3 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 15/15▲33%
93%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 15/1573%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona FC87.5
Valencia37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona FC75.8
Valencia20.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona FC51.7
Valencia75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona FC22.5
Valencia12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona FC32.5
Valencia57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona FC52.5
Valencia2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona FC55
Valencia21.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Girona FC15 matchesValencia15 matches
2.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.33 goals/match
1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals15/151.1 xG/match
13.4 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.2 shots/match
4.93 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.53 shots/match
58.1%●Possession15/1546.5%
4.67 corners/match●Corners15/153.4 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.3 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Girona FC8 matchesValencia8 matches
2.25 goals/match▲Goals scored8/81.13 goals/match
1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match
1.59 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.05 xG/match
13.4 shots/match▲Shots8/89.5 shots/match
5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target8/83.63 shots/match
61%●Possession8/843.9%
4.63 corners/match●Corners8/83.13 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsGirona FCValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match