PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Osasuna 1–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

Osasuna

LDLDD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Osasuna won 1–0.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.180.7
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Osasuna beat Rayo Vallecano 1–0. Recorded in this match (Osasuna – Rayo Vallecano): shots 10–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.18–0.7, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Rayo Vallecano.

5.1 days ▲Rest daysOsasuna · Rayo Vallecano4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOsasunaRayo VallecanoBaseline
Rest days5.1 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible away split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsOsasuna 10 shots, Rayo Vallecano 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsOsasuna 4 shots, Rayo Vallecano 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG0.7 xGOsasuna 1.18 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.7 xG
  • Possession61%39%Osasuna 61%, Rayo Vallecano 39%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerOsasuna 9 corners, Rayo Vallecano 1 corner
  • Fouls20 fouls13 foulsOsasuna 20 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bebé · Rayo Vallecano · 85′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRubén Peña · Osasuna · 38′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIván Balliu · Rayo Vallecano · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRandy Nteka · Rayo Vallecano · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKike Pérez · Rayo Vallecano · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid García · Osasuna · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIker Muñoz · Osasuna · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 54′ · 0.19 xG · on targetAbdul Mumin · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.16 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Raúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.16 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Osasuna
0Draws
1Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Osasuna · La Liga2–1
Osasuna — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Osasuna · La Liga0–3
Osasuna — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Osasuna favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Osasuna17 matchesRayo Vallecano17 matches
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.94 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.24 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.06 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession17/1746.6%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners17/173.88 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1716.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOsasunaRayo Vallecano
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headOsasuna — Rayo Vallecano
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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