PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Celta Vigo 1–0 Granada · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Granada

LDLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 1–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.370.53
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Granada 1–0. Recorded in this match (Celta Vigo – Granada): shots 11–7, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.37–0.53, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Granada's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Granada's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Granada have a visible away split

moderate

Granada's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsCelta Vigo 11 shots, Granada 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCelta Vigo 4 shots, Granada 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.53 xGCelta Vigo 1.37 xG, Granada 0.53 xG
  • Possession39%61%Celta Vigo 39%, Granada 61%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerCelta Vigo 7 corners, Granada 1 corner
  • Fouls20 fouls18 foulsCelta Vigo 20 fouls, Granada 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin Vázquez · Celta Vigo · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 10′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Granada · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnastasios Douvikas · Celta Vigo · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Granada · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Dotor · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRicard Sánchez · Granada · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMyrto Uzuni · Granada · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Celta Vigo · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 42′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBryan Zaragoza · Granada · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Celta Vigo · 1′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Boyé · Granada · 64′ · 0.15 xG · on targetIgnasi Miquel · Granada · 17′ · 0.19 xG · on targetUnai Núñez · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 20′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Celta Vigo: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.37 xG. Granada: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.37 xG · Granada 0.53 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Celta Vigo
1Draws
0Granada
Granada — Celta Vigo · La Liga1–1
Celta Vigo — Granada · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Celta Vigo favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Granada in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Celta Vigo17 matchesGranada17 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/172.18 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.11 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1710.2 shots/match
4.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.88 shots/match
44%Possession17/17● 45.8%
5.65 corners/match ●Corners17/173.65 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCelta VigoGranada
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headCelta Vigo — Granada
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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