La Liga · 2023Tue, 2 Jan 2024, 16:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Getafe

WLWWD

0–2Full-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

DLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Getafe	Rayo Vallecano
Shots	5 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	0 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.39 xG/match	1.92 xG/match▲
Possession	38%	62%●
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	16 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Getafe: 5 shots, 0 on target, 0.39 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Getafe 0.39 xG · Rayo Vallecano 2.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.4 goals/match	0.95 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.8 fouls/matchFoulsGetafe · Rayo Vallecano16.1 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Getafe	Rayo Vallecano	Baseline
Fouls	16.8 fouls/match	16.1 fouls/match	13.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible away split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.7 shots/match	12.7 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Getafe

3Draws

1Rayo Vallecano

12 Feb 2023Getafe — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1

14 Oct 2022Rayo Vallecano — Getafe · La Liga0–0

8 May 2022Getafe — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0

18 Sept 2021Rayo Vallecano — Getafe · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 4 · 5 too close

1.26 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 19/190.95 goals/match

1.32 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 19/191.26 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 19/19▲1.23 xG/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 19/191.43 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 19/19▲12.7 shots/match

11.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 19/1912.9 shots/match

4.32 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 19/19▲4.95 shots/match

4.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 19/194.42 shots/match

43.3%Possessionseason · 19/19●48.1%

4 corners/matchCornersseason · 19/194 corners/match

4.68 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 19/195 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 19/1916.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

37%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 19/19▲42%

68%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 19/1958%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe12.5

Rayo Vallecano42.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe50

Rayo Vallecano54.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe46.7

Rayo Vallecano40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe72.5

Rayo Vallecano57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe97.5

Rayo Vallecano82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe25

Rayo Vallecano25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe53.8

Rayo Vallecano61.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Getafe19 matchesRayo Vallecano19 matches

1.26 goals/match▲Goals scored19/190.95 goals/match

1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.26 goals/match

1.14 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲1.23 xG/match

11.8 shots/matchShots19/19▲12.7 shots/match

4.32 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲4.95 shots/match

43.3%Possession19/19●48.1%

4 corners/matchCorners19/194 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.8 fouls/matchFouls19/1916.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Getafe9 matchesRayo Vallecano10 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored9/100.9 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/100.8 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals9/10▲1.16 xG/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots9/1010.7 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target9/104.4 shots/match

48%●Possession9/1044.6%

4.56 corners/match●Corners9/102.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.1 fouls/matchFouls9/1015.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 2 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4