La Liga · 2023

Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Sevilla · La Liga

1–2Historical match

Sevilla

LLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sevilla won 1–2.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.811.3
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sevilla beat Rayo Vallecano 2–1. Recorded in this match (Rayo Vallecano – Sevilla): shots 22–10, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.81–1.3, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano have a visible home split

moderate

Rayo Vallecano's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsRayo Vallecano 22 shots, Sevilla 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsRayo Vallecano 5 shots, Sevilla 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.81 xG1.3 xGRayo Vallecano 1.81 xG, Sevilla 1.3 xG
  • Possession67%33%Rayo Vallecano 67%, Sevilla 33%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersRayo Vallecano 6 corners, Sevilla 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsRayo Vallecano 8 fouls, Sevilla 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 7′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAridane Hernández · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucien Agoumé · Sevilla · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRaúl de Tomás · Rayo Vallecano · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedIván Balliu · Rayo Vallecano · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSergio Camello · Rayo Vallecano · 56′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 58′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 50′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAridane Hernández · Rayo Vallecano · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 29′ · 0.12 xG · goalYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.12 xG · goalPacha · Rayo Vallecano · 67′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 19′ · 0.20 xG · goalYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 39′ · 0.33 xG · on targetLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 77′ · 0.42 xG · on targetPep Chavarría · Rayo Vallecano · 55′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Rayo Vallecano: 22 shots, 5 on target, 1.81 xG. Sevilla: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Isi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 29′Youssef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 19′Youssef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Rayo Vallecano 1.81 xG · Sevilla 1.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Rayo Vallecano
3Draws
1Sevilla
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–2
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1
Rayo Vallecano — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano23 matchesSevilla23 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.61 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.07 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14.5 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target23/234.65 shots/match
48.6%Possession23/23● 54%
4.43 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.65 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2312.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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