PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Real Madrid 1–0 Sevilla · La Liga

1–0Historical match

Sevilla

LDWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 1–0.

Shots
164
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
0.990.9
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Sevilla 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Sevilla): shots 16–4, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 0.99–0.9, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sevilla have a visible away split

moderate

Sevilla's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Sevilla13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridSevillaBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against9.77 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots4 shotsReal Madrid 16 shots, Sevilla 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotReal Madrid 6 shots, Sevilla 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.99 xG0.9 xGReal Madrid 0.99 xG, Sevilla 0.9 xG
  • Possession64%36%Real Madrid 64%, Sevilla 36%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersReal Madrid 7 corners, Sevilla 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsReal Madrid 10 fouls, Sevilla 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 80′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 52′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFerland Mendy · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 69′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAurélien Tchouaméni · Real Madrid · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 81′ · 0.06 xG · goalAntonio Rüdiger · Real Madrid · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.08 xG · on targetToni Kroos · Real Madrid · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 8′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 52′ · 0.47 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.02 xG. Sevilla: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luka Modrić · Real Madrid · 81′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.02 xG · Sevilla 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Real Madrid
1Draws
0Sevilla
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga3–1
Sevilla — Real Madrid · La Liga2–3
Real Madrid — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid26 matchesSevilla26 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.15 goals/match
0.62 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.03 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2613.4 shots/match
6.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.42 shots/match
59.2% ●Possession26/2652.5%
6 corners/match ●Corners26/265.23 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Feb 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsReal MadridSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headReal Madrid — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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