La Liga · 2023Sun, 25 Feb 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Betis

LWDWD

3–1Full-time recap

Athletic Club

LDWDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Betis	Athletic Club
Shots	13 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	1.23 xG/match▲	0.18 xG/match
Possession	58%●	42%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Athletic Club's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletic Club's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10 shots/match	13 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.4 shots/match	13.4 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.58 corners/match●CornersReal Betis · Athletic Club5.54 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Real Betis	Athletic Club	Baseline
Corners	5.58 corners/match	5.54 corners/match	4.83 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Real Betis

1Draws

2Athletic Club

27 Aug 2023Athletic Club — Real Betis · La Liga4–2

4 May 2023Athletic Club — Real Betis · La Liga0–1

29 Dec 2022Real Betis — Athletic Club · La Liga0–0

13 Mar 2022Real Betis — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

19 Dec 2021Athletic Club — Real Betis · La Liga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Betis favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 7 · 5 too close

1.19 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 26/26▲1.77 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261 goals/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 26/26▲1.61 xG/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 26/26▲1 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/2613 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲10.2 shots/match

3.88 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 26/26▲5 shots/match

3.77 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/263.81 shots/match

50.1%Possessionseason · 26/26●50.2%

5.58 corners/match●Cornersseason · 26/265.54 corners/match

5.15 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 26/26▲3.92 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2614.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

42%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/26▲46%

81%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2673%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Betis52.5

Athletic Club57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Betis57.5

Athletic Club79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Betis74.2

Athletic Club82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Betis77.5

Athletic Club57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Betis22.5

Athletic Club72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Betis87.5

Athletic Club82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Betis57.5

Athletic Club78.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Betis26 matchesAthletic Club26 matches

1.19 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲1.77 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261 goals/match

1.21 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲1.61 xG/match

13.4 shots/matchShots26/2613 shots/match

3.88 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲5 shots/match

50.1%Possession26/26●50.2%

5.58 corners/match●Corners26/265.54 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.2 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Betis14 matchesAthletic Club13 matches

1.36 goals/match▲Goals scored14/130.92 goals/match

0.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/130.92 goals/match

1.42 xG/match▲Expected goals14/131.07 xG/match

15.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1311.6 shots/match

4.36 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.46 shots/match

51.9%●Possession14/1349.5%

5.93 corners/match●Corners14/135.38 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Feb 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4