PitchMath
La Liga · 2023

Almería 2–2 Sevilla · La Liga

2–2Historical match

Sevilla

WWDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Almería and Sevilla drew 2–2.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.992.47
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Almería and Sevilla drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Almería – Sevilla): shots 14–19, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.99–2.47, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible home split

moderate

Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sevilla show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Sevilla's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAlmería · Sevilla13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAlmeríaSevillaBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsAlmería 14 shots, Sevilla 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsAlmería 4 shots, Sevilla 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.99 xG2.47 xGAlmería 1.99 xG, Sevilla 2.47 xG
  • Possession43%57%Almería 43%, Sevilla 57%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersAlmería 1 corner, Sevilla 8 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls11 foulsAlmería 6 fouls, Sevilla 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrián Embarba · Almería · 3′ · 0.01 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDion Lopy · Almería · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLéo Baptistão · Almería · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Pubill · Almería · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKike Salas · Sevilla · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDion Lopy · Almería · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 33′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sow · Sevilla · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSergio Ramos · Sevilla · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEdgar González · Almería · 54′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Viera · Almería · 74′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 86′ · 0.16 xG · goalDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 81′ · 0.18 xG · goalChoco Lozano · Almería · 31′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLuka Romero · Almería · 9′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMarko Milovanović · Almería · 90′ · 0.24 xG · goalJonathan Viera · Almería · 45′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 35′ · 0.31 xG · on targetYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 17′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 32′ · 0.39 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 23′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 38′ · 0.54 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Almería: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.97 xG. Sevilla: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Adrián Embarba · Almería · 38′Marko Milovanović · Almería · 90′Dodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 81′Lucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Almería 1.97 xG · Sevilla 2.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Almería
0Draws
2Sevilla
Sevilla — Almería · La Liga5–1
Sevilla — Almería · La Liga2–1
Almería — Sevilla · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Almería favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Sevilla in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Almería28 matchesSevilla28 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.25 goals/match
2.04 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.11 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.5 shots/match
46.1%Possession28/28● 52.2%
4.61 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.21 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 Mar 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAlmeríaSevilla
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2023/24
Head-to-headAlmería — Sevilla
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required