La Liga · 2023

Sevilla 1–2 Celta Vigo · La Liga

Sevilla

WDLWD
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Celta Vigo won 1–2.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.711.56
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Celta Vigo beat Sevilla 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sevilla – Celta Vigo): shots 11–18, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.71–1.56, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sevilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.14 corners/match ●CornersSevilla · Celta Vigo5.07 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricSevillaCelta VigoBaseline
Corners5.14 corners/match5.07 corners/match4.58 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsSevilla 11 shots, Celta Vigo 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsSevilla 4 shots, Celta Vigo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG1.56 xGSevilla 1.71 xG, Celta Vigo 1.56 xG
  • Possession35%65%Sevilla 35%, Celta Vigo 65%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersSevilla 3 corners, Celta Vigo 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls6 foulsSevilla 13 fouls, Celta Vigo 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kike Salas · Sevilla · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Mingueza · Celta Vigo · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÓliver Torres · Sevilla · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 72′ · 0.02 xG · goalJoan Jordán · Sevilla · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHugo Sotelo · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 27′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFran Beltrán · Celta Vigo · 42′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 39′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 58′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.10 xG · on targetIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 51′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDodi Lukebakio · Sevilla · 62′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 56′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 71′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.23 xG · on targetLucas Ocampos · Sevilla · 60′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedIsaac Romero · Sevilla · 46′ · 0.31 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 78′ · 0.53 xG · goalYoussef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 18′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sevilla: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.73 xG. Celta Vigo: 18 shots, 5 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Youssef En-Nesyri · Sevilla · 18′Carles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 72′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.73 xG · Celta Vigo 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Sevilla
4Draws
0Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga1–1
Sevilla — Celta Vigo · La Liga2–2
Celta Vigo — Sevilla · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sevilla favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sevilla29 matchesCelta Vigo29 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.1 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.52 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.25 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots29/2912.6 shots/match
4.48 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.1 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession29/2944.6%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners29/295.07 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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