La Liga · 2023

Las Palmas 0–1 Almería · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Almería won 0–1.

Shots
213
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
0.940.77
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Almería beat Las Palmas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Las Palmas – Almería): shots 21–3, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 0.94–0.77, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Almería's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Almería's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Almería have a visible away split

moderate

Almería's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.1% ●PossessionLas Palmas · Almería45.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLas PalmasAlmeríaBaseline
Possession61.1%45.7%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots3 shotsLas Palmas 21 shots, Almería 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsLas Palmas 6 shots, Almería 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.94 xG0.77 xGLas Palmas 0.94 xG, Almería 0.77 xG
  • Possession66%34%Las Palmas 66%, Almería 34%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersLas Palmas 11 corners, Almería 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls17 foulsLas Palmas 8 fouls, Almería 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 60′ · 0.00 xG · on targetSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 76′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBenito Ramírez · Las Palmas · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPejiño · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPejiño · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulián Araujo · Las Palmas · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenito Ramírez · Las Palmas · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrián Embarba · Almería · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Cardona · Las Palmas · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Park · Las Palmas · 67′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJavier Muñoz · Las Palmas · 5′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKirian Rodríguez · Las Palmas · 68′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Moleiro · Las Palmas · 86′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarc Cardona · Las Palmas · 61′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSandro Ramírez · Las Palmas · 24′ · 0.19 xG · on targetLéo Baptistão · Almería · 50′ · 0.32 xG · on targetLéo Baptistão · Almería · 14′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Las Palmas: 21 shots, 6 on target, 0.93 xG. Almería: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.77 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Léo Baptistão · Almería · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 0.93 xG · Almería 0.77 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Las Palmas
2Draws
0Almería
Almería — Las Palmas · La Liga1–2
Las Palmas — Almería · Segunda División1–1
Almería — Las Palmas · Segunda División1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Las Palmas favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Almería in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Las Palmas29 matchesAlmería29 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored29/290.97 goals/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.97 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.27 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 12 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4 shots/match
61.1% ●Possession29/2945.7%
4.52 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.55 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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