La Liga · 2023

Real Betis 2–1 Celta Vigo · La Liga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Betis won 2–1.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.261.6
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Betis beat Celta Vigo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Real Betis – Celta Vigo): shots 15–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.26–1.6, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celta Vigo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Celta Vigo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis have a visible home split

moderate

Real Betis's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsReal Betis 15 shots, Celta Vigo 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsReal Betis 3 shots, Celta Vigo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.6 xGReal Betis 1.26 xG, Celta Vigo 1.6 xG
  • Possession47%53%Real Betis 47%, Celta Vigo 53%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersReal Betis 6 corners, Celta Vigo 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsReal Betis 7 fouls, Celta Vigo 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pablo Fornals · Real Betis · 48′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Bamba · Celta Vigo · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGermán Pezzella · Real Betis · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFranco Cervi · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWillian José · Real Betis · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIago Aspas · Celta Vigo · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 83′ · 0.04 xG · goalJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 14′ · 0.07 xG · on targetHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 15′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Álvarez · Celta Vigo · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNabil Fekir · Real Betis · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGuido Rodríguez · Real Betis · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 81′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJuan Miranda · Real Betis · 53′ · 0.25 xG · goalTadeo Allende · Celta Vigo · 87′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedTadeo Allende · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.39 xG · on targetJørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 90′ · 0.75 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Betis: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.29 xG. Celta Vigo: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Juan Miranda · Real Betis · 53′Nabil Fekir · Real Betis · 83′Jørgen Strand Larsen · Celta Vigo · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Betis 1.29 xG · Celta Vigo 1.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Real Betis
1Draws
4Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga2–1
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga3–4
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga1–0
Celta Vigo — Real Betis · La Liga0–0
Real Betis — Celta Vigo · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Betis favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Celta Vigo in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Betis31 matchesCelta Vigo31 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.06 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.48 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.25 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots31/3112.6 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target31/314 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession31/3145.4%
5.81 corners/match ●Corners31/315 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 12 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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