La Liga · 2023Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Las Palmas

LLLLL

0–2Full-time recap

Girona FC

WLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Las Palmas	Girona FC
Shots	10 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.63 xG/match	1.89 xG/match▲
Possession	61%●	39%
Corners	4 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Las Palmas: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.67 xG. Girona FC: 6 shots, 3 on target, 2.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.67 xG · Girona FC 2.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.91 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.2 goals/match	0.91 goals/match	1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Las Palmas

0Draws

1Girona FC

3 Sept 2023Girona FC — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Girona FC in 8 · 4 too close

0.91 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲2.09 goals/match

1.24 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.21 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲1.79 xG/match

1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.4 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲12.2 shots/match

12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3313.3 shots/match

3.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲4.88 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/334.33 shots/match

60.4%●Possessionseason · 33/3356.6%

4.42 corners/match●Cornersseason · 33/334.18 corners/match

5.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/33▲4.36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3311.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲33%

58%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas92.5

Girona FC82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas14.2

Girona FC75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas45.8

Girona FC34.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas2.5

Girona FC7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas7.5

Girona FC17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas37.5

Girona FC22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas16.2

Girona FC43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas33 matchesGirona FC33 matches

0.91 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲2.09 goals/match

1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.21 goals/match

0.87 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲1.79 xG/match

10.4 shots/matchShots33/33▲12.2 shots/match

3.3 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲4.88 shots/match

60.4%●Possession33/3356.6%

4.42 corners/match●Corners33/334.18 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas17 matchesGirona FC17 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.59 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.35 goals/match

0.95 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲1.79 xG/match

10.3 shots/matchShots17/17▲12 shots/match

3.59 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲4.18 shots/match

62.5%●Possession17/1754.7%

5.35 corners/match●Corners17/174.12 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.71 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4