La Liga · 2023Sat, 4 May 2024, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadLas Palmas
Shots9 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals0.58 xG/match0.52 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners7 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Las Palmas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Las Palmas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Las Palmas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Las Palmas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/matchShotsReal Sociedad · Las Palmas10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal SociedadLas PalmasBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad
1Draws
0Las Palmas
Las PalmasReal Sociedad · La Liga00

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Las Palmas in 0 · 2 too close

1.41 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/340.88 goals/match
1.03 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/341.26 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/340.86 xG/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/341.54 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/3410.3 shots/match
10.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/3411.9 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/343.24 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/344.29 shots/match
56.4%Possessionseason · 34/3460.1%
5.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/344.35 corners/match
3.47 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/345.59 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
15.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3410.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
38%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/3421%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/3456%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad77.5
Las Palmas92.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad57.5
Las Palmas12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad90.8
Las Palmas49.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad17.5
Las Palmas2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad92.5
Las Palmas7.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad77.5
Las Palmas37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad68.8
Las Palmas16.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad34 matchesLas Palmas34 matches
1.41 goals/matchGoals scored34/340.88 goals/match
1.03 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.26 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals34/340.86 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots34/3410.3 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target34/343.24 shots/match
56.4%Possession34/3460.1%
5.38 corners/matchCorners34/344.35 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad17 matchesLas Palmas17 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored17/170.76 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.53 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals17/170.77 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots17/1710.3 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on target17/172.88 shots/match
56.1%Possession17/1757.6%
5.71 corners/matchCorners17/173.35 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 May 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath