La Liga · 2024Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Celta Vigo

WWLL

3–1Full-time recap

Real Valladolid

WLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Celta Vigo	Real Valladolid
Shots	14 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.84 xG/match▲	0.51 xG/match
Possession	54%●	46%
Corners	5 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Celta Vigo: 14 shots, 9 on target, 1.86 xG. Real Valladolid: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celta Vigo 1.86 xG · Real Valladolid 0.51 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Valladolid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Real Valladolid have a visible away split

weak

Real Valladolid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season8.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	6 shots/match	8.4 shots/match	11.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celta Vigo have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.4%●PossessionCelta Vigo · Real Valladolid43.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Celta Vigo	Real Valladolid	Baseline
Possession	54.4%	43.2%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Celta Vigo

0Draws

1Real Valladolid

26 Feb 2023Celta Vigo — Real Valladolid · La Liga3–0

19 Oct 2022Real Valladolid — Celta Vigo · La Liga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Celta Vigo favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Real Valladolid in 1 · 3 too close

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 5/50.4 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 5/52.6 goals/match

1.68 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 5/50.68 xG/match

1.53 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 5/51.92 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/58.4 shots/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 5/514.2 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/51.2 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 5/56.4 shots/match

54.4%●Possessionseason · 5/543.2%

3.8 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/53.2 corners/match

5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/55.2 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/514 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲40%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 5/540%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Celta Vigo67.5

Real Valladolid22.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Celta Vigo79.2

Real Valladolid7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Celta Vigo34.2

Real Valladolid10

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Celta Vigo37.5

Real Valladolid17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo22.5

Real Valladolid67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Celta Vigo22.5

Real Valladolid12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Celta Vigo47.5

Real Valladolid23.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Celta Vigo5 matchesReal Valladolid5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match

1.68 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.68 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/51.2 shots/match

54.4%●Possession5/543.2%

3.8 corners/match●Corners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Celta Vigo3 matchesReal Valladolid3 matches

2.67 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed3/34.33 goals/match

1.33 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.48 xG/match

9 shots/match▲Shots3/36 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target3/31 shots/match

55.7%●Possession3/337.3%

4 corners/match●Corners3/33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4