La Liga · 2024Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Las Palmas

DLDL

2–3Full-time recap

Athletic Club

DLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Las Palmas	Athletic Club
Shots	15 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.42 xG/match	2.15 xG/match▲
Possession	65%●	35%
Corners	9 corners/match●	3 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Las Palmas: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.44 xG. Athletic Club: 9 shots, 4 on target, 2.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Las Palmas 1.44 xG · Athletic Club 2.19 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Las Palmas have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6%●PossessionLas Palmas · Athletic Club48.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Las Palmas	Athletic Club	Baseline
Possession	57.6%	48.6%	48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Las Palmas

0Draws

2Athletic Club

10 Mar 2024Las Palmas — Athletic Club · La Liga0–2

20 Dec 2023Athletic Club — Las Palmas · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Las Palmas favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 5 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/51.04 xG/match

2.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.18 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 5/59 shots/match

15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲9.6 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 5/53 shots/match

5.4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲3 shots/match

57.6%●Possessionseason · 5/548.6%

5.8 corners/match●Cornersseason · 5/54.2 corners/match

4.2 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 5/55 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/514 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/5▲20%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/580%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Las Palmas87.5

Athletic Club47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Las Palmas61.7

Athletic Club35

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Las Palmas10.8

Athletic Club67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Las Palmas32.5

Athletic Club7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas37.5

Athletic Club70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Las Palmas72.5

Athletic Club27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Las Palmas60

Athletic Club36.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Las Palmas5 matchesAthletic Club5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.04 xG/match

11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

4.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

57.6%●Possession5/548.6%

5.8 corners/match●Corners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Las Palmas3 matchesAthletic Club2 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/2—

2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/2—

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

12.3 shots/matchShots3/2—

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2—

52.3%Possession3/2—

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/2—

—Cards0/0—

12.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4