La Liga · 2024Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

LWLWD

4–2Full-time recap

Barcelona

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Osasuna	Barcelona
Shots	11 shots/match	12 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.23 xG/match▲	0.83 xG/match
Possession	25%	75%●
Corners	5 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	13 fouls/match	3 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Osasuna: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.30 xG. Barcelona: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 1.30 xG · Barcelona 0.83 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Osasuna's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Osasuna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.5 goals/match	1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season10 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13 shots/match	10 shots/match	11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Osasuna, Barcelona.

4.08 days▲Rest daysOsasuna · Barcelona3 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Osasuna	Barcelona	Baseline
Rest days	4.08 days	3 days	—
Matches last 14 days	3 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Osasuna

0Draws

5Barcelona

31 Jan 2024Barcelona — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

3 Sept 2023Osasuna — Barcelona · La Liga1–2

2 May 2023Barcelona — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

8 Nov 2022Osasuna — Barcelona · La Liga1–2

13 Mar 2022Barcelona — Osasuna · La Liga4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 9 · 4 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/8▲3.13 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/8▲2.48 xG/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.16 xG/match

10 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/8▲17.5 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/8▲8.25 shots/match

3.38 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/8▲7 shots/match

4.38 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/8▲2.88 shots/match

42.9%Possessionseason · 8/8●67.1%

4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/8●6.63 corners/match

5.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/8▲4.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/88 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/825%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/8▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna22.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna46.7

Barcelona94.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna33.3

Barcelona77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna42.5

Barcelona67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna62.5

Barcelona2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna32.5

Barcelona97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna41.9

Barcelona71.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna8 matchesBarcelona8 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲3.13 goals/match

1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲1.13 goals/match

1.03 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲2.48 xG/match

10 shots/matchShots8/8▲17.5 shots/match

3.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲7 shots/match

42.9%Possession8/8●67.1%

4.13 corners/matchCorners8/8●6.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls8/88 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna5 matchesBarcelona5 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲3 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.26 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots5/5▲17.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.2 shots/match

44.2%Possession5/5●64.8%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/5●6.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 days

3 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4