La Liga · 2024Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 16:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Sevilla

LWLWD

1–0Full-time recap

Real Betis

WWLDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Sevilla	Real Betis
Shots	14 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.44 xG/match▲	0.61 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	4 corners/match●	1 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Sevilla: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.45 xG. Real Betis: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sevilla 1.45 xG · Real Betis 0.61 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/matchCornersSevilla · Real Betis●5.89 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Real Betis	Baseline
Corners	5.67 corners/match	5.89 corners/match	4.72 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Sevilla's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sevilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsSevilla · Real Betis15.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Sevilla	Real Betis	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	11.2 shots/match
Shots against	11.4 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Sevilla

4Draws

0Real Betis

28 Apr 2024Real Betis — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

12 Nov 2023Sevilla — Real Betis · La Liga1–1

21 May 2023Sevilla — Real Betis · La Liga0–0

6 Nov 2022Real Betis — Sevilla · La Liga1–1

27 Feb 2022Sevilla — Real Betis · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sevilla favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 7 · 4 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/90.89 goals/match

1.11 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.89 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.58 xG/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.99 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/915.1 shots/match

11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲10.6 shots/match

4.78 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲5.11 shots/match

4.11 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲3.22 shots/match

56.7%●Possessionseason · 9/953.3%

5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/9●5.89 corners/match

3.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲3.44 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/912.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%

78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sevilla72.5

Real Betis62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sevilla68.3

Real Betis67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sevilla46.7

Real Betis80

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sevilla72.5

Real Betis77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sevilla72.5

Real Betis62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sevilla75

Real Betis92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sevilla78.1

Real Betis82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sevilla9 matchesReal Betis9 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match

1.11 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.89 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.58 xG/match

14.8 shots/matchShots9/915.1 shots/match

4.78 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲5.11 shots/match

56.7%●Possession9/953.3%

5.67 corners/matchCorners9/9●5.89 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.1 fouls/matchFouls9/912.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sevilla5 matchesReal Betis4 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/40.25 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/41 goals/match

1.42 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.15 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/412.5 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/43.25 shots/match

55.4%●Possession5/449%

5.4 corners/match●Corners5/44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls5/414.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4