PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricReal SociedadAtlético Madrid
Shots16 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Expected goals1 xG/match▲0.54 xG/match
Possession67%●33%
Corners5 corners/match●1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Igor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 5′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJavi López · Real Sociedad · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 84′ · 0.01 xG · goalJon Aramburu · Real Sociedad · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNayef Aguerd · Real Sociedad · 12′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 1′ · 0.10 xG · goalMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMartín Zubimendi · Real Sociedad · 12′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedNahuel Molina · Atlético Madrid · 57′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Sociedad: 16 shots, 7 on target, 0.99 xG. Atlético Madrid: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.53 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Luka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 84′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 1′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 0.99 xG · Atlético Madrid 0.53 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Sociedad's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Madrid.

8.1 days▲Rest daysReal Sociedad · Atlético Madrid7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricReal SociedadAtlético MadridBaseline
Rest days8.1 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days1 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Real Sociedad
1Draws
4Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–2
Atlético Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1
Atlético Madrid — Real Sociedad · La Liga2–1
Real Sociedad — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Real Sociedad — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11 · 2 too close

0.78 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/9▲1.44 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.56 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/9▲1.42 xG/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/9▲0.85 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/9▲11.3 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/9▲10.8 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/9▲3.89 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/9▲3.22 shots/match
59.3%●Possessionseason · 9/947.8%
5.78 corners/match●Cornersseason · 9/93.89 corners/match
4.78 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/9▲3.78 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/910.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
44%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/9▲56%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad87.5
Atlético Madrid52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad30.8
Atlético Madrid60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad55.8
Atlético Madrid83.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad2.5
Atlético Madrid57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad52.5
Atlético Madrid12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad87.5
Atlético Madrid20
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad52.5
Atlético Madrid35.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad9 matchesAtlético Madrid9 matches
0.78 goals/matchGoals scored9/9▲1.44 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed9/9▲0.56 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲1.42 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲11.3 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲3.89 shots/match
59.3%●Possession9/947.8%
5.78 corners/match●Corners9/93.89 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/910.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad5 matchesAtlético Madrid5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match
1.52 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.91 xG/match
11.8 shots/match▲Shots5/58 shots/match
4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
59.2%●Possession5/544.4%
7 corners/match●Corners5/52.6 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsReal SociedadAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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