La Liga · 2024Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
03Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricDeportivo AlavésBarcelona
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match9 shots/match
Expected goals0.74 xG/match2.67 xG/match
Possession28%72%
Corners11 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls13 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Antonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedManuel Sánchez · Deportivo Alavés · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric García · Barcelona · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomás Conechny · Deportivo Alavés · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedToni Martínez · Deportivo Alavés · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnder Guevara · Deportivo Alavés · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedStoichkov · Deportivo Alavés · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAbdel Abqar · Deportivo Alavés · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Barcelona · 75′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPedri · Barcelona · 39′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCarlos Vicente · Deportivo Alavés · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Blanco · Deportivo Alavés · 68′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Barcelona · 74′ · 0.09 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 24′ · 0.14 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 7′ · 0.15 xG · goalRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 75′ · 0.19 xG · on targetPedri · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedKike García · Deportivo Alavés · 78′ · 0.23 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 32′ · 0.34 xG · goalRaphinha · Barcelona · 24′ · 0.52 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 22′ · 0.84 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Deportivo Alavés: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.74 xG. Barcelona: 15 shots, 9 on target, 2.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 7′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 22′Robert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Deportivo Alavés 0.74 xG · Barcelona 2.78 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

40%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Barcelona67.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésBarcelonaBaseline
Possession40%67.7%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/matchShotsDeportivo Alavés · Barcelona17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésBarcelonaBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match17.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match8.56 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Barcelona.

8.09 daysRest daysDeportivo Alavés · Barcelona7.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo AlavésBarcelonaBaseline
Rest days8.09 days7.8 days
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Deportivo Alavés
1Draws
3Barcelona
Deportivo AlavésBarcelona · La Liga13
BarcelonaDeportivo Alavés · La Liga21
Deportivo AlavésBarcelona · La Liga01
BarcelonaDeportivo Alavés · La Liga11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Deportivo Alavés favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Barcelona in 10 · 2 too close

1.22 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 9/93.11 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 9/91 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 9/92.5 xG/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 9/91.12 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 9/917.2 shots/match
11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/98.56 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/97.22 shots/match
4.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/92.78 shots/match
40%Possessionseason · 9/967.7%
4.78 corners/matchCornersseason · 9/96.22 corners/match
4.22 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 9/95 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
15.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/98 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/933%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 9/9100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Deportivo Alavés2.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Deportivo Alavés48.3
Barcelona95.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Deportivo Alavés36.7
Barcelona79.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Deportivo Alavés87.5
Barcelona67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés87.5
Barcelona2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Deportivo Alavés52.5
Barcelona97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Deportivo Alavés56.9
Barcelona72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés9 matchesBarcelona9 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored9/93.11 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed9/91 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals9/92.5 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots9/917.2 shots/match
3.22 shots/matchShots on target9/97.22 shots/match
40%Possession9/967.7%
4.78 corners/matchCorners9/96.22 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.3 fouls/matchFouls9/98 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Deportivo Alavés4 matchesBarcelona6 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored4/63 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed4/61.33 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals4/62.33 xG/match
10.3 shots/matchShots4/617.3 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/67.5 shots/match
32.3%Possession4/666%
5.75 corners/matchCorners4/65.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.5 fouls/matchFouls4/68.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.09 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.8 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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