La Liga · 2024Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 14:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Osasuna

LWDWD
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricOsasunaReal Betis
Shots19 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match7 shots/match
Expected goals2.06 xG/match2.42 xG/match
Possession55%45%
Corners10 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match8 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jesús Areso · Osasuna · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Real Betis · 69′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 20′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAitor Ruibal · Real Betis · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBryan Zaragoza · Osasuna · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 48′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRaúl García de Haro · Osasuna · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego Llorente · Real Betis · 12′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJon Moncayola · Osasuna · 84′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRubén Peña · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Real Betis · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Real Betis · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEnzo Boyomo · Osasuna · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 43′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAimar Oroz · Osasuna · 65′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRubén García · Osasuna · 45′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedHéctor Bellerín · Real Betis · 25′ · 0.19 xG · on targetVitor Roque · Real Betis · 7′ · 0.20 xG · goalAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 18′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAnte Budimir · Osasuna · 56′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 24′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedChimy Ávila · Real Betis · 73′ · 0.50 xG · goalLucas Torró · Osasuna · 59′ · 0.51 xG · goalVitor Roque · Real Betis · 24′ · 0.83 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Osasuna: 19 shots, 6 on target, 2.07 xG. Real Betis: 11 shots, 7 on target, 2.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Lucas Torró · Osasuna · 59′Vitor Roque · Real Betis · 7′Chimy Ávila · Real Betis · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Osasuna 2.07 xG · Real Betis 2.31 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Osasuna have a visible home split

moderate

Osasuna's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match10.5 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/matchShotsOsasuna · Real Betis14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOsasunaReal BetisBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match14.7 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Osasuna
0Draws
4Real Betis
OsasunaReal Betis · La Liga02
Real BetisOsasuna · La Liga21
OsasunaReal Betis · La Liga32
Real BetisOsasuna · La Liga10
Real BetisOsasuna · La Liga41

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Osasuna favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 8 · 3 too close

1.4 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/101 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/100.9 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.67 xG/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.1 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1014.7 shots/match
11.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1011.4 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/105.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/103.5 shots/match
45.8%Possessionseason · 10/1052.5%
4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/105.5 corners/match
5.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/104.1 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1012.4 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1030%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Osasuna40
Real Betis62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Osasuna42.5
Real Betis69.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Osasuna39.2
Real Betis65.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Osasuna42.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Osasuna57.5
Real Betis47.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Osasuna42.5
Real Betis67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Osasuna40
Real Betis71.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Osasuna10 matchesReal Betis10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.9 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.67 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots10/1014.7 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
45.8%Possession10/1052.5%
4.5 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Osasuna6 matchesReal Betis5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored6/50.6 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.4 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots6/512.2 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/54 shots/match
46%Possession6/548.2%
5.67 corners/matchCorners6/53.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.8 fouls/matchFouls6/513.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 18:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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