La Liga · 2024Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Real Sociedad

LDWDW

0–2Full-time recap

Osasuna

WDWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Real Sociedad	Osasuna
Shots	19 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.65 xG/match▲	0.98 xG/match
Possession	75%●	25%
Corners	14 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Real Sociedad: 19 shots, 9 on target, 1.62 xG. Osasuna: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.96 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Sociedad 1.62 xG · Osasuna 0.96 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Osasuna have a visible away split

moderate

Osasuna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season10.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	6.2 shots/match	10.5 shots/match	11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.73 goals/match	1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.2%●PossessionReal Sociedad · Osasuna43.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Real Sociedad	Osasuna	Baseline
Possession	60.2%	43.9%	48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Real Sociedad

1Draws

1Osasuna

10 Feb 2024Real Sociedad — Osasuna · La Liga0–1

2 Dec 2023Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga1–1

28 Apr 2023Osasuna — Real Sociedad · La Liga0–2

31 Dec 2022Real Sociedad — Osasuna · La Liga2–0

27 Feb 2022Real Sociedad — Osasuna · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Real Sociedad favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Osasuna in 2 · 3 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.45 goals/match

0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/111.45 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.06 xG/match

1.12 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/111.33 xG/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1110.5 shots/match

11.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1112.1 shots/match

4.09 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.55 shots/match

3.55 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/114.91 shots/match

60.2%●Possessionseason · 11/1143.9%

6.55 corners/match●Cornersseason · 11/114.45 corners/match

4.82 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.91 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%

55%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Real Sociedad92.5

Osasuna27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Real Sociedad32.5

Osasuna45

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Real Sociedad65

Osasuna31.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Real Sociedad12.5

Osasuna47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad52.5

Osasuna62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Real Sociedad97.5

Osasuna30

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Real Sociedad60

Osasuna39.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Real Sociedad11 matchesOsasuna11 matches

0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.45 goals/match

0.91 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/111.45 goals/match

1.25 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.06 xG/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.5 shots/match

4.09 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.55 shots/match

60.2%●Possession11/1143.9%

6.55 corners/match●Corners11/114.45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Real Sociedad6 matchesOsasuna5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored6/50.8 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/51.6 goals/match

1.54 xG/match▲Expected goals6/50.43 xG/match

13 shots/match▲Shots6/56.2 shots/match

4.83 shots/match▲Shots on target6/52 shots/match

61.8%●Possession6/541.4%

8.17 corners/match●Corners6/53 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls6/511.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.15 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.24 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 28 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4