La Liga · 2024Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 15:15 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Getafe

DLWDD
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGetafeValencia
Shots15 shots/match2 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match1 shots/match
Expected goals2.26 xG/match0.6 xG/match
Possession64%36%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Omar Alderete · Getafe · 12′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarles Pérez · Getafe · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristantus Uche · Getafe · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Getafe · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Getafe · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCarles Pérez · Getafe · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAllan Nyom · Getafe · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJavier Guerra · Valencia · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 9′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Sola · Getafe · 6′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 60′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Getafe · 90′ · 0.49 xG · on targetEnzo Barrenechea · Valencia · 36′ · 0.56 xG · goalMauro Arambarri · Getafe · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Getafe: 15 shots, 4 on target, 2.31 xG. Valencia: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.69 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Mauro Arambarri · Getafe · 90′Enzo Barrenechea · Valencia · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Getafe 2.31 xG · Valencia 0.69 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Valencia have a visible away split

moderate

Valencia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.17 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season8.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.17 shots/match8.82 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/matchShotsGetafe · Valencia8.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGetafeValenciaBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match8.82 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against7.82 shots/match11.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Getafe
1Draws
2Valencia
ValenciaGetafe · La Liga10
GetafeValencia · La Liga10
GetafeValencia · La Liga10
ValenciaGetafe · La Liga51
GetafeValencia · La Liga00

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 0 · 4 too close

0.73 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/110.73 goals/match
0.82 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/111.55 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/110.72 xG/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/111.65 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/118.82 shots/match
7.82 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1111.2 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/112.82 shots/match
2.64 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/113.82 shots/match
43.5%Possessionseason · 11/1144.3%
4.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/115.82 corners/match
3.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/114.82 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
16.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/1127%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1155%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe17.5
Valencia27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe35
Valencia10
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe91.7
Valencia56.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe92.5
Valencia17.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe97.5
Valencia32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe42.5
Valencia95
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe60
Valencia38.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Getafe11 matchesValencia11 matches
0.73 goals/matchGoals scored11/110.73 goals/match
0.82 goals/matchGoals allowed11/111.55 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals11/110.72 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/118.82 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target11/112.82 shots/match
43.5%Possession11/1144.3%
4.64 corners/matchCorners11/115.82 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.6 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Getafe6 matchesValencia6 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/60.33 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.83 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.51 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots6/66.17 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target6/62 shots/match
51.5%Possession6/643.7%
4.5 corners/matchCorners6/63.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.95 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.84 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

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