PitchMath
La Liga · 2024

Athletic Club 4–1 Espanyol · La Liga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club won 4–1.

Shots
105
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.310.27
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club beat Espanyol 4–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Espanyol): shots 10–5, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.31–0.27, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Espanyol9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubEspanyolBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match9 shots/match11.2 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots5 shotsAthletic Club 10 shots, Espanyol 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAthletic Club 6 shots, Espanyol 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG0.27 xGAthletic Club 1.31 xG, Espanyol 0.27 xG
  • Possession57%43%Athletic Club 57%, Espanyol 43%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAthletic Club 5 corners, Espanyol 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls22 foulsAthletic Club 15 fouls, Espanyol 22 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nico Williams · Athletic Club · 11′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Serrano · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJofre Carreras · Espanyol · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPere Milla · Espanyol · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPere Milla · Espanyol · 48′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNico Williams · Athletic Club · 41′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDani Vivian · Athletic Club · 6′ · 0.08 xG · goalÁlvaro Tejero · Espanyol · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 30′ · 0.13 xG · goalDani Vivian · Athletic Club · 59′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.30 xG · goalÁlex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 55′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 10 shots, 6 on target, 1.34 xG. Espanyol: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.25 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Dani Vivian · Athletic Club · 6′Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 28′Iñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 30′Álex Berenguer · Athletic Club · 55′Álvaro Tejero · Espanyol · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 1.34 xG · Espanyol 0.25 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Athletic Club
1Draws
1Espanyol
Espanyol — Athletic Club · La Liga1–2
Athletic Club — Espanyol · La Liga0–1
Athletic Club — Espanyol · La Liga2–1
Espanyol — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Espanyol in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club10 matchesEspanyol10 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101 goal/match
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.87 xG/match
10.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/109 shots/match
3.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/102.3 shots/match
45.8% ●Possession10/1042.5%
4.1 corners/match ●Corners10/103.6 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubEspanyol
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2024/25
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Espanyol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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