PitchMath
La Liga · 2024Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
0–3Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeganésReal Sociedad
Shots11 shots/match15 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Expected goals0.64 xG/match1.81 xG/match▲
Possession56%●44%
Corners5 corners/match●3 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Aihen Muñoz · Real Sociedad · 26′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIgor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIgor Zubeldia · Real Sociedad · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSeydouba Cisse · Leganés · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 12′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYvan Neyou · Leganés · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJon Ander Olasagasti · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 54′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetTakefusa Kubo · Real Sociedad · 51′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnder Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 78′ · 0.05 xG · goalÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiego García · Leganés · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMunir El Haddadi · Leganés · 85′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 90′ · 0.12 xG · goalSheraldo Becker · Real Sociedad · 83′ · 0.17 xG · on targetYvan Neyou · Leganés · 20′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBrais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 14′ · 0.52 xG · goalLuka Sučić · Real Sociedad · 36′ · 0.67 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leganés: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.66 xG. Real Sociedad: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Brais Méndez · Real Sociedad · 14′Ander Barrenetxea · Real Sociedad · 78′Mikel Oyarzabal · Real Sociedad · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 0.66 xG · Real Sociedad 1.82 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Sociedad's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Sociedad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Leganés show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Leganés's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.06 shots/match▲ShotsLeganés · Real Sociedad10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeganésReal SociedadBaseline
Shots8.06 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match11 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Sociedad have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.6%PossessionLeganés · Real Sociedad●55.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLeganésReal SociedadBaseline
Possession43.6%55.1%48.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Real Sociedad in 11 · 2 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 16/16▲1 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 16/16▲0.69 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 16/16▲1.28 xG/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 16/16▲1.03 xG/match
8.06 shots/matchShotsseason · 16/16▲10.9 shots/match
14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 16/16▲11 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 16/16▲3.81 shots/match
4.94 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 16/16▲2.94 shots/match
43.6%Possessionseason · 16/16●55.1%
2.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 16/16●5.94 corners/match
5.81 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 16/16▲4.81 corners/match
—Cardsseason · 0/0—
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 16/1613.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 16/16▲56%
56%Scoring frequencyseason · 16/16▲63%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés22.5
Real Sociedad77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés9.2
Real Sociedad41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés26.7
Real Sociedad76.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés7.5
Real Sociedad12.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés57.5
Real Sociedad77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5
Real Sociedad97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés18.8
Real Sociedad66.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés16 matchesReal Sociedad16 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲1 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲0.69 goals/match
0.7 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲1.28 xG/match
8.06 shots/matchShots16/16▲10.9 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲3.81 shots/match
43.6%Possession16/16●55.1%
2.94 corners/matchCorners16/16●5.94 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
13.2 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés8 matchesReal Sociedad8 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲0.88 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲0.25 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲1.05 xG/match
8.88 shots/matchShots8/8▲10 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲3.13 shots/match
46.4%Possession8/8●55%
2.5 corners/matchCorners8/8●4.88 corners/match
—Cards0/0—
12.5 fouls/matchFouls8/813.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.71 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsLeganésReal Sociedad
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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Leganés vs Real Sociedad — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath