La Liga · 2024Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Getafe

DWWLL

2–1Full-time recap

Atlético Madrid

WDDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Getafe	Atlético Madrid
Shots	11 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.27 xG/match▲	0.97 xG/match
Possession	39%	61%●
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	14 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Getafe: 11 shots, 3 on target, 1.24 xG. Atlético Madrid: 4 shots, 2 on target, 1.06 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Getafe 1.24 xG · Atlético Madrid 1.06 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Getafe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	0.85 goals/match	1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

strong

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.77 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.77 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	10.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.9%PossessionGetafe · Atlético Madrid●51.6%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Getafe	Atlético Madrid	Baseline
Possession	41.9%	51.6%	49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Getafe

2Draws

3Atlético Madrid

15 Dec 2024Atlético Madrid — Getafe · La Liga1–0

15 May 2024Getafe — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–3

19 Dec 2023Atlético Madrid — Getafe · La Liga3–3

4 Feb 2023Atlético Madrid — Getafe · La Liga1–1

15 Aug 2022Getafe — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 7 · 5 too close

0.85 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/27▲1.63 goals/match

0.81 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/27▲0.67 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 27/27▲1.6 xG/match

1.2 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 27/27▲0.94 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/2711.8 shots/match

9.56 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2711 shots/match

3.19 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/27▲4.41 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/273 shots/match

41.9%Possessionseason · 27/27●51.6%

3.93 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/27●4.7 corners/match

3.89 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/273.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2710.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲48%

59%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/27▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe7.5

Atlético Madrid67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe29.2

Atlético Madrid70.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe90

Atlético Madrid80.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe87.5

Atlético Madrid37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe97.5

Atlético Madrid12.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe22.5

Atlético Madrid47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe50

Atlético Madrid48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Getafe27 matchesAtlético Madrid27 matches

0.85 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲1.63 goals/match

0.81 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲0.67 goals/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲1.6 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots27/2711.8 shots/match

3.19 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲4.41 shots/match

41.9%Possession27/27●51.6%

3.93 corners/matchCorners27/27●4.7 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2710.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Getafe14 matchesAtlético Madrid13 matches

0.86 goals/matchGoals scored14/13▲1.46 goals/match

0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/130.77 goals/match

1.05 xG/matchExpected goals14/13▲1.17 xG/match

12.3 shots/match▲Shots14/138.77 shots/match

3.43 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.15 shots/match

47.4%Possession14/13●48.8%

3.93 corners/match●Corners14/133.31 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16 fouls/matchFouls14/1310.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Mar 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4