La Liga · 2024Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
23Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricLeganésReal Betis
Shots10 shots/match21 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.29 xG/match2.69 xG/match
Possession35%65%
Corners3 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match5 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Cucho Hernández · Real Betis · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Real Betis · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÓscar Rodríguez · Leganés · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRenato Tapia · Leganés · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRomain Perraud · Real Betis · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarc Bartra · Real Betis · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJavier Hernández · Leganés · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSergi Altimira · Real Betis · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsco · Real Betis · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSergio González · Leganés · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDarko Brašanac · Leganés · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuan Cruz · Leganés · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 55′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntony · Real Betis · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdessamad Ezzalzouli · Real Betis · 2′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPablo Fornals · Real Betis · 47′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Leganés · 29′ · 0.11 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 34′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Real Betis · 69′ · 0.22 xG · on targetCucho Hernández · Real Betis · 82′ · 0.24 xG · goalMiguel de la Fuente · Leganés · 90′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedDani Raba · Leganés · 44′ · 0.60 xG · goalCédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 78′ · 0.68 xG · goalIsco · Real Betis · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Leganés: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.32 xG. Real Betis: 21 shots, 6 on target, 2.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Dani Raba · Leganés · 29′Dani Raba · Leganés · 44′Isco · Real Betis · 64′Cédric Bakambu · Real Betis · 78′Cucho Hernández · Real Betis · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Leganés 1.32 xG · Real Betis 2.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Betis's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Betis's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Betis show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Real Betis's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.18 shots/matchShotsLeganés · Real Betis13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLeganésReal BetisBaseline
Shots8.18 shots/match13.9 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against15.1 shots/match10.6 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Real Betis have a visible away split

moderate

Real Betis's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Leganés
0Draws
1Real Betis
Real BetisLeganés · La Liga20

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Leganés favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Real Betis in 10 · 2 too close

0.93 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/281.36 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/281.25 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/281.59 xG/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 28/281.28 xG/match
8.18 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2813.9 shots/match
15.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2810.6 shots/match
2.82 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/284.79 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/283.43 shots/match
42.2%Possessionseason · 28/2852.4%
2.79 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/285.25 corners/match
6.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/283.75 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2812 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
29%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2825%
61%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2882%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Leganés12.5
Real Betis72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Leganés10.8
Real Betis77.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Leganés17.5
Real Betis67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Leganés12.5
Real Betis82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Leganés72.5
Real Betis37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Leganés2.5
Real Betis72.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Leganés22.5
Real Betis68.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Leganés28 matchesReal Betis28 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.36 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.25 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.59 xG/match
8.18 shots/matchShots28/2813.9 shots/match
2.82 shots/matchShots on target28/284.79 shots/match
42.2%Possession28/2852.4%
2.79 corners/matchCorners28/285.25 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls28/2812 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Leganés14 matchesReal Betis14 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.14 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.43 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals14/141.22 xG/match
8.14 shots/matchShots14/1411.4 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target14/144 shots/match
43.8%Possession14/1450.8%
2.36 corners/matchCorners14/144.57 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.4 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.81 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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Leganés vs Real Betis — stats, xG & match recap | PitchMath