La Liga · 2024

Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Club · La Liga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Real Madrid won 1–0.

Shots
223
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.730.19
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

Real Madrid beat Athletic Club 1–0. Recorded in this match (Real Madrid – Athletic Club): shots 22–3, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.73–0.19, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Athletic Club12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match11.1 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match9 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.8% ●PossessionReal Madrid · Athletic Club48.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricReal MadridAthletic ClubBaseline
Possession60.8%48.6%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots3 shotsReal Madrid 22 shots, Athletic Club 3 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotReal Madrid 7 shots, Athletic Club 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.73 xG0.19 xGReal Madrid 1.73 xG, Athletic Club 0.19 xG
  • Possession74%26%Real Madrid 74%, Athletic Club 26%
  • Corners14 corners1 cornerReal Madrid 14 corners, Athletic Club 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsReal Madrid 7 fouls, Athletic Club 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Modrić · Real Madrid · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Júnior · Real Madrid · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRodrygo · Real Madrid · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 59′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBrahim Díaz · Real Madrid · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Ceballos · Real Madrid · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFederico Valverde · Real Madrid · 36′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 75′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 35′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEduardo Camavinga · Real Madrid · 49′ · 0.16 xG · on targetJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJude Bellingham · Real Madrid · 61′ · 0.25 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Real Madrid: 22 shots, 7 on target, 1.49 xG. Athletic Club: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Federico Valverde · Real Madrid · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Real Madrid 1.49 xG · Athletic Club 0.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Real Madrid
1Draws
1Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga2–1
Real Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2
Real Madrid — Athletic Club · La Liga1–1
Athletic Club — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid32 matchesAthletic Club32 matches
2.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.53 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.44 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots32/3212.9 shots/match
6.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.34 shots/match
60.8% ●Possession32/3248.6%
5.91 corners/match ●Corners32/325.25 corners/match
8.91 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Apr 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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