La Liga · 2024Wed, 23 Apr 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Getafe

WLWLL

0–1Full-time recap

Real Madrid

WWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Getafe	Real Madrid
Shots	20 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	2.36 xG/match▲	1.5 xG/match
Possession	37%	63%●
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Getafe: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.89 xG. Real Madrid: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Getafe 2.89 xG · Real Madrid 1.54 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Real Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Real Madrid.

5.02 days▲Rest daysGetafe · Real Madrid3.02 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Getafe	Real Madrid	Baseline
Rest days	5.02 days	3.02 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Real Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionGetafe · Real Madrid●60.9%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Getafe	Real Madrid	Baseline
Possession	42.1%	60.9%	49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Getafe

0Draws

5Real Madrid

1 Dec 2024Real Madrid — Getafe · La Liga2–0

1 Feb 2024Getafe — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2

2 Sept 2023Real Madrid — Getafe · La Liga2–1

13 May 2023Real Madrid — Getafe · La Liga1–0

8 Oct 2022Getafe — Real Madrid · La Liga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Getafe favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Real Madrid in 7 · 4 too close

0.94 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/33▲2 goals/match

0.91 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/330.94 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 33/33▲1.97 xG/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 33/33▲1.1 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/33▲16.3 shots/match

9.61 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3310.6 shots/match

3.61 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/33▲6.39 shots/match

3.12 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/333.27 shots/match

42.1%Possessionseason · 33/33●60.9%

3.94 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/33●5.85 corners/match

3.76 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 33/334.24 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/338.85 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/33▲39%

61%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/33▲94%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Getafe12.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Getafe38.3

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Getafe86.7

Real Madrid77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Getafe92.5

Real Madrid82.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Getafe92.5

Real Madrid2.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Getafe27.5

Real Madrid92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Getafe55

Real Madrid70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Getafe33 matchesReal Madrid33 matches

0.94 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲2 goals/match

0.91 goals/matchGoals allowed33/330.94 goals/match

1.01 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲1.97 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots33/33▲16.3 shots/match

3.61 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲6.39 shots/match

42.1%Possession33/33●60.9%

3.94 corners/matchCorners33/33●5.85 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

16.3 fouls/matchFouls33/338.85 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Getafe17 matchesReal Madrid17 matches

0.82 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲1.65 goals/match

0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed17/170.88 goals/match

1.16 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲1.48 xG/match

12.6 shots/matchShots17/17▲14.3 shots/match

3.76 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲5.47 shots/match

46.9%Possession17/17●59.4%

3.82 corners/matchCorners17/17●4.35 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15.8 fouls/matchFouls17/178.94 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.02 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Apr 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4