La Liga · 2024

Atlético Madrid 3–0 Rayo Vallecano · La Liga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 3–0.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.530.73
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Madrid beat Rayo Vallecano 3–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Madrid – Rayo Vallecano): shots 10–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.53–0.73, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Rayo Vallecano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsAtlético Madrid 10 shots, Rayo Vallecano 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsAtlético Madrid 5 shots, Rayo Vallecano 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.53 xG0.73 xGAtlético Madrid 2.53 xG, Rayo Vallecano 0.73 xG
  • Possession42%58%Atlético Madrid 42%, Rayo Vallecano 58%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersAtlético Madrid 6 corners, Rayo Vallecano 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsAtlético Madrid 8 fouls, Rayo Vallecano 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Javi Galán · Atlético Madrid · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedro Díaz · Rayo Vallecano · 82′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedUnai López · Rayo Vallecano · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Lejeune · Rayo Vallecano · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarcos Llorente · Atlético Madrid · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro García · Rayo Vallecano · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Griezmann · Atlético Madrid · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGerard Gumbau · Rayo Vallecano · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 28′ · 0.14 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 33′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIsi Palazón · Rayo Vallecano · 51′ · 0.14 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 45′ · 0.18 xG · goalAndrei Rațiu · Rayo Vallecano · 63′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 3′ · 0.24 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 30′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 8′ · 0.26 xG · on targetConor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 79′ · 0.30 xG · on targetJulián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 77′ · 0.31 xG · goalAlexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 6′ · 0.48 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 11 shots, 6 on target, 2.24 xG. Rayo Vallecano: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.71 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alexander Sørloth · Atlético Madrid · 3′Conor Gallagher · Atlético Madrid · 45′Julián Alvarez · Atlético Madrid · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 2.24 xG · Rayo Vallecano 0.71 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Atlético Madrid
2Draws
0Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Atlético Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga2–1
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–7
Rayo Vallecano — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–2
Atlético Madrid — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Madrid favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Rayo Vallecano in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Madrid33 matchesRayo Vallecano33 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.06 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.27 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.18 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 13.1 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target33/334.15 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession33/3351.4%
4.79 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4.97 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3314.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 24 Apr 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

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