La Liga · 2024Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 12:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Rayo Vallecano

LDWLL

1–1Full-time recap

Valencia

WDWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Rayo Vallecano	Valencia
Shots	11 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.56 xG/match	1.94 xG/match▲
Possession	57%●	43%
Corners	5 corners/match●	2 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	13 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2Rayo Vallecano

2Draws

1Valencia

7 Dec 2024Valencia — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–1

12 May 2024Valencia — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga0–0

19 Dec 2023Rayo Vallecano — Valencia · La Liga0–1

3 Apr 2023Valencia — Rayo Vallecano · La Liga1–1

10 Sept 2022Rayo Vallecano — Valencia · La Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Rayo Vallecano favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 2 · 7 too close

1.09 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/321.13 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/321.5 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 32/321.14 xG/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 32/321.43 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/3210.2 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/32▲11.2 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.13 shots/match

4.28 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 32/32▲3.94 shots/match

51.2%●Possessionseason · 32/3246.8%

5.03 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/32●5.06 corners/match

4.88 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/324.88 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3211.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/3222%

78%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/3275%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Rayo Vallecano57.5

Valencia37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Rayo Vallecano55.8

Valencia27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Rayo Vallecano39.2

Valencia40.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Rayo Vallecano72.5

Valencia32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano87.5

Valencia27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Rayo Vallecano62.5

Valencia72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Rayo Vallecano71.2

Valencia33.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Rayo Vallecano32 matchesValencia32 matches

1.09 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.13 goals/match

1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/321.5 goals/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.14 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots32/3210.2 shots/match

4.13 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.13 shots/match

51.2%●Possession32/3246.8%

5.03 corners/matchCorners32/32●5.06 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Rayo Vallecano16 matchesValencia16 matches

1.31 goals/match▲Goals scored16/160.88 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.88 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals16/161 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots16/168.75 shots/match

5.25 shots/match▲Shots on target16/162.31 shots/match

54.8%●Possession16/1645.7%

5.06 corners/match●Corners16/164 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.71 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.71 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Apr 2025, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4