Premier League · 2023Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Wolverhampton

LLWL

1–3Full-time recap

Liverpool

DWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Wolverhampton	Liverpool
Shots	11 shots/match	16 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.63 xG/match	2.52 xG/match▲
Possession	34%	66%●
Corners	4 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	4 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Liverpool have a visible away split

weak

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	12.7 shots/match	16.2 shots/match	14.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsWolverhampton · Liverpool16.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Wolverhampton	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	16.2 shots/match	14.7 shots/match
Shots against	15.6 shots/match	13.2 shots/match	13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Wolverhampton

0Draws

3Liverpool

1 Mar 2023Liverpool — Wolverhampton · Premier League2–0

4 Feb 2023Wolverhampton — Liverpool · Premier League3–0

22 May 2022Liverpool — Wolverhampton · Premier League3–1

4 Dec 2021Wolverhampton — Liverpool · Premier League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Wolverhampton favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 10 · 3 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/5▲2.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲2.05 xG/match

2.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.18 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/5▲16.2 shots/match

15.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/5▲13.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/5▲5 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/5▲4.4 shots/match

47.8%Possessionseason · 5/5●54%

3.6 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/5●6.8 corners/match

5.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/5▲3.6 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/510 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/520%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Wolverhampton42.5

Liverpool72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Wolverhampton31.7

Liverpool69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Wolverhampton19.2

Liverpool75.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Wolverhampton62.5

Liverpool57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton72.5

Liverpool32.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Wolverhampton15

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Wolverhampton40

Liverpool58.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Wolverhampton5 matchesLiverpool5 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.4 goals/match

2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.05 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match

47.8%Possession5/5●54%

3.6 corners/matchCorners5/5●6.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls5/510 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Wolverhampton2 matchesLiverpool3 matches

—Goals scored2/32 goals/match

—Goals allowed2/31 goals/match

—Expected goals2/31.56 xG/match

—Shots2/312.7 shots/match

—Shots on target2/33.67 shots/match

—Possession2/347%

—Corners2/35.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/39 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4