PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Aston Villa 3–1 Crystal Palace · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa won 3–1.

Shots
166
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
3.211.17
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa beat Crystal Palace 3–1. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Crystal Palace): shots 16–6, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 3.21–1.17, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsAston Villa 16 shots, Crystal Palace 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAston Villa 5 shots, Crystal Palace 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.21 xG1.17 xGAston Villa 3.21 xG, Crystal Palace 1.17 xG
  • Possession67%33%Aston Villa 67%, Crystal Palace 33%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAston Villa 4 corners, Crystal Palace 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsAston Villa 13 fouls, Crystal Palace 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 83′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLucas Digne · Aston Villa · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJhon Durán · Aston Villa · 87′ · 0.05 xG · goalMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 19′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 76′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 76′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 18′ · 0.17 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 62′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 76′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 38′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedOdsonne Édouard · Crystal Palace · 47′ · 0.32 xG · goalEberechi Eze · Crystal Palace · 82′ · 0.34 xG · on targetMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 37′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedJoel Ward · Crystal Palace · 71′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.61 xG · goalDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 16 shots, 5 on target, 3.21 xG. Crystal Palace: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.20 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Jhon Durán · Aston Villa · 87′Douglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 90′Leon Bailey · Aston Villa · 90′Odsonne Édouard · Crystal Palace · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 3.21 xG · Crystal Palace 1.20 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Aston Villa
1Draws
1Crystal Palace
Aston Villa — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–0
Crystal Palace — Aston Villa · Premier League3–1
Aston Villa — Crystal Palace · Premier League1–1
Crystal Palace — Aston Villa · Premier League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Crystal Palace in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa5 matchesCrystal Palace5 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
2.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.4 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 15 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.8 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession5/546.2%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/53.6 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAston VillaCrystal Palace
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headAston Villa — Crystal Palace
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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