Premier League · 2023Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Liverpool

WWWLD

2–0Full-time recap

Everton

DLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Liverpool	Everton
Shots	26 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	6 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	2.23 xG/match▲	0.13 xG/match
Possession	78%●	22%
Corners	12 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Liverpool: 26 shots, 6 on target, 2.28 xG. Everton: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Liverpool 2.28 xG · Everton 0.14 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1 goals/match	1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool have a visible home split

weak

Liverpool's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season17.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	22.8 shots/match	17.2 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Liverpool have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.7%●PossessionLiverpool · Everton43.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Liverpool	Everton	Baseline
Possession	55.7%	43.2%	49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

3Liverpool

1Draws

0Everton

13 Feb 2023Liverpool — Everton · Premier League2–0

3 Sept 2022Everton — Liverpool · Premier League0–0

24 Apr 2022Liverpool — Everton · Premier League2–0

1 Dec 2021Everton — Liverpool · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Liverpool favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 0 · 5 too close

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 9/91 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 9/91.56 goals/match

2.13 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 9/91.67 xG/match

1.3 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 9/91.4 xG/match

17.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 9/915.4 shots/match

13.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 9/913 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 9/95 shots/match

4.22 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 9/94.11 shots/match

55.7%●Possessionseason · 9/943.2%

6.56 corners/match●Cornersseason · 9/95.44 corners/match

5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 9/95.78 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 9/911.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 9/911%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 9/944%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Liverpool72.5

Everton27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Liverpool79.2

Everton55.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Liverpool57.5

Everton51.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Liverpool77.5

Everton97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Liverpool77.5

Everton52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Liverpool82.5

Everton55

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Liverpool80

Everton61.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Liverpool9 matchesEverton9 matches

2.22 goals/match▲Goals scored9/91 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed9/91.56 goals/match

2.13 xG/match▲Expected goals9/91.67 xG/match

17.2 shots/match▲Shots9/915.4 shots/match

5.11 shots/matchShots on target9/95 shots/match

55.7%●Possession9/943.2%

6.56 corners/match●Corners9/95.44 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12 fouls/matchFouls9/911.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Liverpool4 matchesEverton4 matches

2.75 goals/match▲Goals scored4/41.25 goals/match

0.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/42.25 goals/match

2.7 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.31 xG/match

22.8 shots/match▲Shots4/412.3 shots/match

6.75 shots/match▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match

67.8%●Possession4/440%

9 corners/match●Corners4/45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples9 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4