PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

West Ham United 1–1 Aston Villa · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

West Ham United and Aston Villa drew 1–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.020.66
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Ham United and Aston Villa drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (West Ham United – Aston Villa): shots 13–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.02–0.66, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

West Ham United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

West Ham United's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

West Ham United show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

West Ham United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsWest Ham United · Aston Villa14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedAston VillaBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Aston Villa have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.2%PossessionWest Ham United · Aston Villa● 55.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWest Ham UnitedAston VillaBaseline
Possession41.2%55.3%48.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsWest Ham United 13 shots, Aston Villa 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsWest Ham United 5 shots, Aston Villa 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG0.66 xGWest Ham United 2.02 xG, Aston Villa 0.66 xG
  • Possession31%69%West Ham United 31%, Aston Villa 69%
  • Corners7 corners10 cornersWest Ham United 7 corners, Aston Villa 10 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsWest Ham United 13 fouls, Aston Villa 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pau Torres · Aston Villa · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDouglas Luiz · Aston Villa · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlex Moreno · Aston Villa · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVladimír Coufal · West Ham United · 26′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Diaby · Aston Villa · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 18′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetEzri Konsa · Aston Villa · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMohammed Kudus · West Ham United · 39′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLeon Bailey · Aston Villa · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVladimír Coufal · West Ham United · 26′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLucas Paquetá · West Ham United · 18′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 20′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 79′ · 0.19 xG · goalMichail Antonio · West Ham United · 29′ · 0.22 xG · goalKonstantinos Mavropanos · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedJames Ward-Prowse · West Ham United · 90′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Souček · West Ham United · 18′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

West Ham United: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.99 xG. Aston Villa: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Michail Antonio · West Ham United · 29′Nicolò Zaniolo · Aston Villa · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 1.99 xG · Aston Villa 0.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3West Ham United
1Draws
1Aston Villa
Aston Villa — West Ham United · Premier League4–1
West Ham United — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Aston Villa — West Ham United · Premier League0–1
West Ham United — Aston Villa · Premier League2–1
Aston Villa — West Ham United · Premier League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Ham United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Aston Villa in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Ham United29 matchesAston Villa29 matches
1.59 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 2.07 goals/match
1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.82 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 14.5 shots/match
4.03 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 5.55 shots/match
41.2%Possession29/29● 55.3%
4.21 corners/matchCorners29/29● 6.34 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Ham UnitedAston Villa
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headWest Ham United — Aston Villa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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