Premier League · 2023Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

LDWLL

2–2Full-time recap

Liverpool

WDLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Liverpool
Shots	11 shots/match	28 shots/match▲
Shots on target	8 shots/match	8 shots/match
Expected goals	0.7 xG/match	1.75 xG/match▲
Possession	29%	71%●
Corners	4 corners/match	8 corners/match●
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Liverpool's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	2.2 goals/match	1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Liverpool20.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Liverpool	Baseline
Shots	11.7 shots/match	20.4 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	17 shots/match	10.9 shots/match	13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool.

5.9 days▲Rest daysWest Ham United · Liverpool2.69 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	West Ham United	Liverpool	Baseline
Rest days	5.9 days	2.69 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

0Draws

4Liverpool

24 Sept 2023Liverpool — West Ham United · Premier League3–1

26 Apr 2023West Ham United — Liverpool · Premier League1–2

19 Oct 2022Liverpool — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

5 Mar 2022Liverpool — West Ham United · Premier League1–0

7 Nov 2021West Ham United — Liverpool · Premier League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 2 too close

1.6 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 35/35▲2.2 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 35/35▲1.03 goals/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 35/35▲2.27 xG/match

1.88 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 35/35▲1.18 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 35/35▲20.4 shots/match

17 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 35/35▲10.9 shots/match

4.06 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 35/35▲6.94 shots/match

6.26 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 35/35▲3.86 shots/match

41%Possessionseason · 35/35●62.1%

4.31 corners/matchCornersseason · 35/35●7.57 corners/match

5.74 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 35/35▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 35/3512 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

14%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 35/35▲26%

80%Scoring frequencyseason · 35/35▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United17.5

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United38.3

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United15.8

Liverpool87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United67.5

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United22.5

Liverpool77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United17.5

Liverpool92.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United23.1

Liverpool90

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United35 matchesLiverpool35 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲2.2 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲1.03 goals/match

1.38 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲2.27 xG/match

11.7 shots/matchShots35/35▲20.4 shots/match

4.06 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲6.94 shots/match

41%Possession35/35●62.1%

4.31 corners/matchCorners35/35●7.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3512 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United18 matchesLiverpool18 matches

1.56 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲1.89 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲1.17 goals/match

1.29 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲1.77 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots18/18▲16.6 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲5.28 shots/match

41.6%Possession18/18●60.3%

4.5 corners/matchCorners18/18●6.67 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/12.69 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples35 / 35home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Match statistics

What the record shows

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

Recent scheduling adds useful context

Head-to-head

Team comparison

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches