Premier League · 2024

Aston Villa 2–2 Liverpool · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Aston Villa and Liverpool drew 2–2.

Shots
917
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.732.44
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Aston Villa and Liverpool drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Aston Villa – Liverpool): shots 9–17, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.73–2.44, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Liverpool.

4.19 days ▲Rest daysAston Villa · Liverpool3.23 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAston VillaLiverpoolBaseline
Rest days4.19 days3.23 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.62 corners/match ●CornersAston Villa · Liverpool6.46 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAston VillaLiverpoolBaseline
Corners6.62 corners/match6.46 corners/match5.06 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Liverpool's recent record differs from the season

weak

Liverpool's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots17 shotsAston Villa 9 shots, Liverpool 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAston Villa 4 shots, Liverpool 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG2.44 xGAston Villa 0.73 xG, Liverpool 2.44 xG
  • Possession52%48%Aston Villa 52%, Liverpool 48%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersAston Villa 6 corners, Liverpool 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsAston Villa 8 fouls, Liverpool 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Virgil van Dijk · Liverpool · 4′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatty Cash · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Aston Villa · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 57′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Rogers · Aston Villa · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndy Robertson · Liverpool · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCurtis Jones · Liverpool · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Aston Villa · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTrent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 61′ · 0.08 xG · goalDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYouri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 38′ · 0.11 xG · goalTyrone Mings · Aston Villa · 37′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOllie Watkins · Aston Villa · 45′ · 0.18 xG · goalMohamed Salah · Liverpool · 29′ · 0.43 xG · goalDiogo Jota · Liverpool · 39′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedDarwin Núñez · Liverpool · 69′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Aston Villa: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.64 xG. Liverpool: 17 shots, 3 on target, 2.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Youri Tielemans · Aston Villa · 38′Ollie Watkins · Aston Villa · 45′Mohamed Salah · Liverpool · 29′Trent Alexander-Arnold · Liverpool · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Aston Villa 0.64 xG · Liverpool 2.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Aston Villa
2Draws
3Liverpool
Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League2–0
Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League3–3
Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League3–0
Liverpool — Aston Villa · Premier League1–1
Aston Villa — Liverpool · Premier League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Aston Villa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Aston Villa26 matchesLiverpool26 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 2.38 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1 goal/match
1.48 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 2.25 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 16.9 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 6.42 shots/match
51.4%Possession26/26● 57.5%
6.62 corners/match ●Corners26/266.46 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 19 Feb 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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