Premier League · 2024Wed, 26 Feb 2025, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Brentford

LWLWW

1–1Full-time recap

Everton

WWDWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Brentford	Everton
Shots	12 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.48 xG/match▲	1.37 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	2 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	3 fouls/match	6 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Brentford: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.75 xG. Everton: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brentford 1.75 xG · Everton 1.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Everton's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Everton's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.2 goals/match	1.11 goals/match	1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Everton.

4.98 days▲Rest daysBrentford · Everton4.29 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Brentford	Everton	Baseline
Rest days	4.98 days	4.29 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	3 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Brentford

2Draws

3Everton

23 Nov 2024Everton — Brentford · Premier League0–0

27 Apr 2024Everton — Brentford · Premier League1–0

23 Sept 2023Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–3

11 Mar 2023Everton — Brentford · Premier League1–0

27 Aug 2022Brentford — Everton · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Brentford favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Everton in 6 · 3 too close

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/271.11 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/27▲1.26 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 27/271.11 xG/match

1.55 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 27/27▲1.28 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/2711 shots/match

17.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/27▲12.7 shots/match

4.96 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/273.74 shots/match

5.78 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/27▲4.3 shots/match

47.9%●Possessionseason · 27/2740.2%

4.48 corners/match●Cornersseason · 27/274.07 corners/match

6.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/27▲5.89 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

7.78 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2711.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲33%

78%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2756%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Brentford42.5

Everton7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Brentford55.8

Everton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Brentford17.5

Everton62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Brentford22.5

Everton67.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Brentford7.5

Everton47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Brentford37.5

Everton17.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Brentford35

Everton25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Brentford27 matchesEverton27 matches

1.78 goals/match▲Goals scored27/271.11 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲1.26 goals/match

1.62 xG/match▲Expected goals27/271.11 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots27/2711 shots/match

4.96 shots/match▲Shots on target27/273.74 shots/match

47.9%●Possession27/2740.2%

4.48 corners/match●Corners27/274.07 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.78 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Brentford14 matchesEverton13 matches

2.14 goals/match▲Goals scored14/130.77 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed14/13▲1.31 goals/match

1.88 xG/match▲Expected goals14/130.97 xG/match

13.1 shots/match▲Shots14/1310.2 shots/match

5.64 shots/match▲Shots on target14/133.15 shots/match

50.6%●Possession14/1337.5%

5.07 corners/match●Corners14/133.62 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

6.71 fouls/matchFouls14/1311.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

4.98 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.29 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/13 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Feb 2025, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4