Premier League · 2024Mon, 10 Mar 2025, 20:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

West Ham United

DLLWW

0–1Full-time recap

Newcastle United

WLLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	West Ham United	Newcastle United
Shots	9 shots/match	9 shots/match
Shots on target	2 shots/match	3 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.72 xG/match	1.4 xG/match▲
Possession	51%●	49%
Corners	3 corners/match	4 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

West Ham United: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.70 xG. Newcastle United: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: West Ham United 0.70 xG · Newcastle United 1.38 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Newcastle United's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Newcastle United's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Newcastle United's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Newcastle United show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Newcastle United's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match▲ShotsWest Ham United · Newcastle United12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	West Ham United	Newcastle United	Baseline
Shots	13 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	16.1 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1West Ham United

2Draws

2Newcastle United

25 Nov 2024Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League0–2

30 Mar 2024Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League4–3

8 Oct 2023West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League2–2

5 Apr 2023West Ham United — Newcastle United · Premier League1–5

4 Feb 2023Newcastle United — West Ham United · Premier League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

West Ham United favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 9 · 4 too close

1.14 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/28▲1.68 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/28▲1.36 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 28/28▲1.66 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 28/28▲1.29 xG/match

13 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2812.9 shots/match

16.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/28▲12.9 shots/match

3.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/28▲4.32 shots/match

5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/28▲4.5 shots/match

47.1%Possessionseason · 28/28●50.1%

4.32 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/28●5.57 corners/match

5.32 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/285.25 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2810.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/28▲32%

75%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/28▲82%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

West Ham United32.5

Newcastle United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

West Ham United31.7

Newcastle United46.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

West Ham United20.8

Newcastle United52.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

West Ham United67.5

Newcastle United47.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

West Ham United52.5

Newcastle United15

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

West Ham United30

Newcastle United62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

West Ham United38.8

Newcastle United38.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

West Ham United28 matchesNewcastle United28 matches

1.14 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲1.68 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲1.36 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲1.66 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots28/2812.9 shots/match

3.86 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲4.32 shots/match

47.1%Possession28/28●50.1%

4.32 corners/matchCorners28/28●5.57 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2810.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

West Ham United15 matchesNewcastle United15 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲1.53 goals/match

1.87 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.4 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲1.58 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots15/1511.7 shots/match

3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/153.93 shots/match

48.8%Possession15/15●51.7%

4.8 corners/matchCorners15/15●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.9 fouls/matchFouls15/159.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

11 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 11 Mar 2025, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4