PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Riyadh 1–0 Neom SC · Saudi Pro League

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Riyadh won 1–0.

Shots
1012
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.810.88
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Riyadh beat Neom SC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Riyadh – Neom SC): shots 10–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.81–0.88, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Riyadh, Neom SC.

2.91 days ▲Rest daysAl-Riyadh · Neom SC3.97 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-RiyadhNeom SCBaseline
Rest days2.91 days3.97 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Neom SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Neom SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Riyadh · Neom SC12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-RiyadhNeom SCBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match9.75 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Neom SC have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.3%PossessionAl-Riyadh · Neom SC● 53.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-RiyadhNeom SCBaseline
Possession36.3%53.8%51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots12 shotsAl-Riyadh 10 shots, Neom SC 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAl-Riyadh 3 shots, Neom SC 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG0.88 xGAl-Riyadh 0.81 xG, Neom SC 0.88 xG
  • Possession33%67%Al-Riyadh 33%, Neom SC 67%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAl-Riyadh 5 corners, Neom SC 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsAl-Riyadh 13 fouls, Neom SC 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAl-Riyadh 3 cards, Neom SC 1 card
  • Passes264 passes550 passesAl-Riyadh 264 passes, Neom SC 550 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.9%88.9%Al-Riyadh 76.9%, Neom SC 88.9%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsAl-Riyadh 7 shots, Neom SC 8 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksAl-Riyadh 2 blocks, Neom SC 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesAl-Riyadh 3 saves, Neom SC 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesAl-Riyadh 2 offsides, Neom SC 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 38′Victor LekhalYellow card · Al-Riyadh
  2. 45′Haroune CamaraYellow card · Neom SC
  3. 45′Fahad Al JayzaniYellow card · Al-Riyadh
  4. Half-time
  5. 54′Bernard MensahYellow card · Al-Riyadh
  6. 61′Teddy OkouGoal · Al-Riyadh
  7. Full time
Player changes · 8grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Riyadh · 1 player changeHassan Hashim Al-Ali
  • 65′Neom SC · 2 player changesAbdulmalik Al Oyayari · Mohannad Abu Taha
  • 69′Al-Riyadh · 1 player changeHussain Al-Shurafa
  • 74′Neom SC · 1 player changeMuhannad Al Saad
  • 82′Al-Riyadh · 1 player changeMarzouq Tambakti
  • 83′Neom SC · 2 player changesAhmed Al-Anzi · Ahmed Al-Anzi

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Al-Riyadh
0Draws
2Neom SC
Neom SC — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League1–0
Al-Riyadh — Neom SC · Saudi Pro League2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Riyadh favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Neom SC in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Riyadh4 matchesNeom SC4 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
2.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1 goal/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.15 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 12.8 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4 shots/match
36.3%Possession4/4● 53.8%
3 corners/matchCorners4/4● 3.25 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 19:50 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-RiyadhNeom SC
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Riyadh — Neom SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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