PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Fayha 3–2 Abha · Saudi Pro League

3–2Full-time analysis

Abha

LLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Fayha won 3–2.

Shots
188
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.931.49
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Fayha beat Abha 3–2. Recorded in this match (Al-Fayha – Abha): shots 18–8, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.93–1.49, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Fayha, Abha.

2.99 days ▲Rest daysAl-Fayha · Abha3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-FayhaAbhaBaseline
Rest days2.99 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Abha show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Abha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Fayha · Abha11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-FayhaAbhaBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against18.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsAl-Fayha 18 shots, Abha 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsAl-Fayha 6 shots, Abha 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.93 xG1.49 xGAl-Fayha 1.93 xG, Abha 1.49 xG
  • Possession56%44%Al-Fayha 56%, Abha 44%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAl-Fayha 5 corners, Abha 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsAl-Fayha 8 fouls, Abha 16 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsAl-Fayha 0 cards, Abha 3 cards
  • Passes444 passes355 passesAl-Fayha 444 passes, Abha 355 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.7%82.3%Al-Fayha 86.7%, Abha 82.3%
  • Shots inside box12 shots5 shotsAl-Fayha 12 shots, Abha 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockAl-Fayha 5 blocks, Abha 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesAl-Fayha 3 saves, Abha 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides5 offsidesAl-Fayha 2 offsides, Abha 5 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 32′LázaroGoal · Al-Fayha
  2. 38′Khaled Al ShamraniYellow card · Abha
  3. 45′Jurien GaariYellow card · Abha
  4. Half-time
  5. 56′LázaroGoal · Al-Fayha
  6. 68′Abdou DialloYellow card · Abha
  7. 84′Alimami GoryGoal · Abha
  8. 87′Abdou DialloGoal · Abha
  9. 90′Michy BatshuayiPenalty goal · Abha
  10. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 4′Abha · 1 player changeMohammed Al-Zaid
  • 46′Abha · 1 player changeNasser Al-Daajani
  • 59′Abha · 2 player changesFiras Al-Ghamdi · Abdulbaset Hindi
  • 76′Al-Fayha · 1 player changeZiyad Al-Sahafi
  • 80′Abha · 1 player changeMajed Dawran
  • 80′Al-Fayha · 1 player changeSilvère Ganvoula
  • 81′Al-Fayha · 1 player changeFahad Majed Alhubayshi
  • 87′Al-Fayha · 1 player changeMansor Al-Beshe

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Al-Fayha
2Draws
1Abha
Al-Fayha — Abha · Saudi Pro League3–2
Abha — Al-Fayha · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Fayha — Abha · Saudi Pro League2–0
Abha — Al-Fayha · Saudi Pro League1–1
Abha — Al-Fayha · Saudi Pro League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Fayha favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Abha in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Fayha4 matchesAbha4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/41 goal/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42.5 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals4/40.99 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match
44.8%Possession4/4● 52.3%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.25 corners/match
8.75 fouls/matchFouls4/411.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-FayhaAbha
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Fayha — Abha
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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