PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Nassr won 2–1.

Shots
165
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
20.8
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Nassr beat Al-Taawoun 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Nassr – Al-Taawoun): shots 16–5, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2–0.8, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.75 corners/match ●CornersAl-Nassr · Al-Taawoun6.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-TaawounBaseline
Corners7.75 corners/match6.5 corners/match4.25 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Nassr, Al-Taawoun.

3 days ▲Rest daysAl-Nassr · Al-Taawoun3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-NassrAl-TaawounBaseline
Rest days3 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al-Nassr show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Al-Nassr's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Nassr · Al-Taawoun14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAl-TaawounBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match12 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots5 shotsAl-Nassr 16 shots, Al-Taawoun 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsAl-Nassr 5 shots, Al-Taawoun 2 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG0.8 xGAl-Nassr 2 xG, Al-Taawoun 0.8 xG
  • Possession59%41%Al-Nassr 59%, Al-Taawoun 41%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersAl-Nassr 10 corners, Al-Taawoun 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls8 foulsAl-Nassr 14 fouls, Al-Taawoun 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAl-Nassr 2 cards, Al-Taawoun 1 card
  • Passes417 passes305 passesAl-Nassr 417 passes, Al-Taawoun 305 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.9%80%Al-Nassr 85.9%, Al-Taawoun 80%
  • Shots inside box13 shots2 shotsAl-Nassr 13 shots, Al-Taawoun 2 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksAl-Nassr 5 blocks, Al-Taawoun 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesAl-Nassr 1 save, Al-Taawoun 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideAl-Nassr 0 offsides, Al-Taawoun 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Bassam Al-HurayjiGoal · Al-Taawoun
  2. 20′Salem AlnajdiYellow card · Al-Nassr
  3. 45′Samú CostaGoal · Al-Nassr
  4. Half-time
  5. 50′Cristiano RonaldoGoal · Al-Nassr
  6. 75′Marin PetkovYellow card · Al-Taawoun
  7. 90′João FélixYellow card · Al-Nassr
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Taawoun · 1 player changeParfait Guiagon
  • 59′Al-Taawoun · 1 player changeMohammed Al-Kuwaykibi
  • 73′Al-Taawoun · 1 player changeAbdulrahman Hendi
  • 80′Al-Nassr · 2 player changesAbdullah Al-Khaibari · Abdullah Al-Hamdan
  • 85′Al-Taawoun · 2 player changesSaif Rashad Mohamed · Rakan Al-Tulayhi
  • 87′Al-Nassr · 2 player changesAyman Yahya · Sami Al Naji

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Nassr
2Draws
0Al-Taawoun
Al-Nassr — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League1–0
Al-Taawoun — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–5
Al-Nassr — Al-Taawoun · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Taawoun — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Taawoun — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Nassr favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Taawoun in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Nassr4 matchesAl-Taawoun4 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.75 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.6 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/414 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.5 shots/match
53.8%Possession4/4● 54.3%
7.75 corners/match ●Corners4/46.5 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-NassrAl-Taawoun
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Nassr — Al-Taawoun
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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