Al-Ettifaq
Saudi Pro League · 2026Al-Ettifaq 2–3 Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Al-Nassr won 2–3.
- Shots
- 14–14
- Shots on target
- 5–9
- Expected goals
- 0.72–2
- Possession
- 60%–40%
Full time
What the match recorded
Al-Nassr beat Al-Ettifaq 3–2. Recorded in this match (Al-Ettifaq – Al-Nassr): shots 14–14, shots on target 5–9, expected goals 0.72–2, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Both teams have elevated corners records
weakEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Al-Ettifaq | Al-Nassr | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 6.67 corners/match | 7 corners/match | 4 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Ettifaq.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Al-Ettifaq | Al-Nassr | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.09 days | 4.08 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Al-Ettifaq show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakAl-Ettifaq's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Al-Ettifaq | Al-Nassr | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 shots/match | 16.3 shots/match | 12.7 shots/match |
| Shots against | 10.7 shots/match | 11.3 shots/match | 11.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 12′BentoRed card · Al-Nassr
- 31′Ondrej DudaGoal · Al-Ettifaq
- 43′Moussa DembéléYellow card · Al-Ettifaq
- 45′Álvaro MedránGoal · Al-Ettifaq
- Half-time
- 55′João FélixYellow card · Al-Nassr
- 74′Sadio ManéGoal · Al-Nassr
- 77′Abdulelah Al-AmriGoal · Al-Nassr
- 90′Sadio ManéGoal · Al-Nassr
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 16′Al-Nassr · 1 player changeAbdulrahman Al-Otaibi
- 46′Al-Nassr · 1 player changeAbdullah Al-Khaibari
- 46′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeAbdullah Madu
- 52′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeJordan Larsson
- 68′Al-Nassr · 1 player changeSami Al Naji
- 68′Al-Ettifaq · 2 player changesKhalid Al-Ghannam · Bersant Celina
- 69′Al-Nassr · 1 player changeAbdullah Al-Hamdan
- 87′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeMeshal Alaeli
- 90′Al-Nassr · 1 player changeNader Al Sharari
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Al-Ettifaq favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Nassr in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Al-Ettifaq / Al-Nassr
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
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