PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Abha 0–1 Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League

Abha

LLDL
0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Ettifaq won 0–1.

Shots
98
Shots on target
01
Expected goals
0.530.67
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ettifaq beat Abha 1–0. Recorded in this match (Abha – Al-Ettifaq): shots 9–8, shots on target 0–1, expected goals 0.53–0.67, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Abha, Al-Ettifaq.

7 days ▲Rest daysAbha · Al-Ettifaq5.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAbhaAl-EttifaqBaseline
Rest days7 days5.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Ettifaq have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.8%PossessionAbha · Al-Ettifaq● 59%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAbhaAl-EttifaqBaseline
Possession49.8%59%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsAbha 9 shots, Al-Ettifaq 8 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots1 shotAbha 0 shots, Al-Ettifaq 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.67 xGAbha 0.53 xG, Al-Ettifaq 0.67 xG
  • Possession40%60%Abha 40%, Al-Ettifaq 60%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersAbha 1 corner, Al-Ettifaq 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsAbha 12 fouls, Al-Ettifaq 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAbha 3 cards, Al-Ettifaq 1 card
  • Passes289 passes424 passesAbha 289 passes, Al-Ettifaq 424 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%83.5%Abha 73%, Al-Ettifaq 83.5%
  • Shots inside box3 shots6 shotsAbha 3 shots, Al-Ettifaq 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksAbha 1 block, Al-Ettifaq 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save0 savesAbha 1 save, Al-Ettifaq 0 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesAbha 3 offsides, Al-Ettifaq 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 29′Firas Al-GhamdiYellow card · Abha
  2. 30′Ondrej DudaYellow card · Al-Ettifaq
  3. Half-time
  4. 53′Mohammed Al-ZaidYellow card · Abha
  5. 79′Abdulbaset HindiYellow card · Abha
  6. 80′Donovan LéonGoal · Abha
  7. 86′Moussa DembéléGoal · Al-Ettifaq
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 65′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeMadallah Al-Olayan
  • 65′Abha · 1 player changeMajed Dawran
  • 65′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeRayane Messi
  • 74′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeKhalid Al-Ghannam
  • 75′Abha · 1 player changeNawaf Al Ghulaimish
  • 90′Abha · 3 player changesBasil Yousef Al-Sayyali · Faisal Al-Sibyani · Kamil Boumedmed
  • 90′Al-Ettifaq · 1 player changeYasir Shammari

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Abha
  1. Donovan LéonG
  2. Jurien GaariD
  3. Abdulbaset HindiD
  4. Mohammed Al-ZaidD
  5. Safwan AljohaniD
  6. Firas Al-GhamdiM
  7. Nabil FekirM
  8. Alimami GoryM
  9. Abdullah Al-FahadM
  10. Keshim Al-QahtaniM
  11. Michy BatshuayiF
Al-Ettifaq
  1. Turki Ba Al-JawshG
  2. Jack HendryD
  3. Meshal AlaeliD
  4. Bersant CelinaD
  5. Radhi Al-OteibiD
  6. Abdullah KhateebD
  7. Álvaro MedránM
  8. Ondrej DudaM
  9. Abdoulaye KantéM
  10. Moussa DembéléF
  11. Jordan LarssonF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Abha
0Draws
3Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq — Abha · Saudi Pro League3–0
Abha — Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League1–3
Abha — Al-Ettifaq · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Ettifaq — Abha · Saudi Pro League2–1
Al-Ettifaq — Abha · Saudi Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Abha favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ettifaq in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Abha5 matchesAl-Ettifaq5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.9 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.46 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 5.4 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/5● 59%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.8 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAbhaAl-Ettifaq
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAbha — Al-Ettifaq
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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