PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Nassr 2–1 Abha · Saudi Pro League

2–1Full-time analysis

Abha

LLDLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Nassr won 2–1.

Shots
195
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.130.26
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Nassr beat Abha 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Nassr – Abha): shots 19–5, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.13–0.26, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Nassr.

4 days ▲Rest daysAl-Nassr · Abha5.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-NassrAbhaBaseline
Rest days4 days5.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Abha show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Abha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Nassr · Abha9.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-NassrAbhaBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match9.83 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against9.83 shots/match12.8 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Abha have a visible away split

weak

Abha's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.83 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match9.83 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsAl-Nassr 19 shots, Abha 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAl-Nassr 6 shots, Abha 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG0.26 xGAl-Nassr 1.13 xG, Abha 0.26 xG
  • Possession67%33%Al-Nassr 67%, Abha 33%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerAl-Nassr 4 corners, Abha 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsAl-Nassr 16 fouls, Abha 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardAl-Nassr 0 cards, Abha 1 card
  • Passes587 passes291 passesAl-Nassr 587 passes, Abha 291 passes
  • Pass accuracy89.4%80.8%Al-Nassr 89.4%, Abha 80.8%
  • Shots inside box12 shots1 shotAl-Nassr 12 shots, Abha 1 shot
  • Blocked shots6 blocks0 blocksAl-Nassr 6 blocks, Abha 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save4 savesAl-Nassr 1 save, Abha 4 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides4 offsidesAl-Nassr 4 offsides, Abha 4 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 22′Cristiano RonaldoGoal · Al-Nassr
  2. Half-time
  3. 58′Abdullah Al-HamdanGoal · Al-Nassr
  4. 64′Bader Al MutairiYellow card · Abha
  5. 75′Nabil FekirGoal · Abha
  6. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 63′Abha · 2 player changesKhaled Al Shamrani · Bader Al Mutairi
  • 70′Abha · 1 player changeNawaf Al Ghulaimish
  • 76′Al-Nassr · 2 player changesSalem Alnajdi · Ayman Yahya
  • 85′Abha · 2 player changesBasil Yousef Al-Sayyali · Keshim Al-Qahtani

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Al-Nassr
  1. BentoG
  2. Mohamed SimakanD
  3. Saad Al-NasserD
  4. Nawaf BoushalD
  5. Iñigo MartínezD
  6. Sadio ManéM
  7. Samú CostaM
  8. Abdullah Al-KhaibariM
  9. ÂngeloM
  10. Cristiano RonaldoF
  11. Abdullah Al-HamdanF
Abha
  1. Donovan LéonG
  2. Jurien GaariD
  3. Abdulbaset HindiD
  4. Mohammed Al-ZaidD
  5. Safwan AljohaniD
  6. Firas Al-GhamdiM
  7. Nabil FekirM
  8. Alimami GoryM
  9. Abdulkarim DarisiM
  10. Abdullah Al-FahadM
  11. Michy BatshuayiF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Al-Nassr
1Draws
0Abha
Abha — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–8
Al-Nassr — Abha · Saudi Pro League2–2
Al-Nassr — Abha · Saudi Pro League2–1
Abha — Al-Nassr · Saudi Pro League0–3
Al-Nassr — Abha · Saudi Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Nassr favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Abha in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Nassr6 matchesAbha6 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.17 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.79 xG/match
16.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.83 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.33 shots/match
56% ●Possession6/647%
8.17 corners/match ●Corners6/63.17 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-NassrAbha
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Nassr — Abha
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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