PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Fateh 1–2 Al-Diraiyah Club · Saudi Pro League

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Diraiyah Club won 1–2.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.372.54
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Diraiyah Club beat Al-Fateh 2–1. Recorded in this match (Al-Fateh – Al-Diraiyah Club): shots 13–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.37–2.54, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Diraiyah Club.

4.09 days ▲Rest daysAl-Fateh · Al-Diraiyah Club6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-FatehAl-Diraiyah ClubBaseline
Rest days4.09 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Al-Fateh's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Fateh's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Al-Diraiyah Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Diraiyah Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Fateh · Al-Diraiyah Club12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-FatehAl-Diraiyah ClubBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match11 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsAl-Fateh 13 shots, Al-Diraiyah Club 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAl-Fateh 4 shots, Al-Diraiyah Club 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG2.54 xGAl-Fateh 1.37 xG, Al-Diraiyah Club 2.54 xG
  • Possession61%39%Al-Fateh 61%, Al-Diraiyah Club 39%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAl-Fateh 5 corners, Al-Diraiyah Club 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsAl-Fateh 8 fouls, Al-Diraiyah Club 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAl-Fateh 3 cards, Al-Diraiyah Club 1 card
  • Passes472 passes308 passesAl-Fateh 472 passes, Al-Diraiyah Club 308 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%82.1%Al-Fateh 90%, Al-Diraiyah Club 82.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsAl-Fateh 7 shots, Al-Diraiyah Club 7 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks4 blocksAl-Fateh 3 blocks, Al-Diraiyah Club 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesAl-Fateh 2 saves, Al-Diraiyah Club 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideAl-Fateh 2 offsides, Al-Diraiyah Club 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Abdulelah Al KhaibariYellow card · Al-Fateh
  2. 28′Darwin NúñezPenalty goal · Al-Diraiyah Club
  3. 35′Faisal Al AbdulwahedGoal · Al-Fateh
  4. 45′Adrian ŠemperYellow card · Al-Fateh
  5. 45′Adil BoulbinaPenalty goal · Al-Diraiyah Club
  6. Half-time
  7. 60′Kennedy BoatengYellow card · Al-Fateh
  8. 90′Sultan FarhanYellow card · Al-Diraiyah Club
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 58′Al-Fateh · 1 player changeAli Al-Hassan
  • 71′Al-Fateh · 2 player changesFahad Zubaidi · Sattam Al Tumbukti
  • 81′Al-Diraiyah Club · 2 player changesSultan Farhan · Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer
  • 86′Al-Fateh · 1 player changeZiyad Aljari
  • 87′Al-Fateh · 1 player changeSaad Al-Shurafa
  • 90′Al-Diraiyah Club · 3 player changesHattan Bahebri · Mohamed Hameran · Husain Al-Qahtani

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Al-Fateh
  1. Adrian ŠemperG
  2. Kennedy BoatengD
  3. Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
  4. Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD
  5. Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
  6. Mihai LixandruM
  7. Zaydou YoussoufM
  8. Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
  9. Wilfried KangaF
  10. Lukáš HaraslínF
  11. Mourad BatnaF
Al-Diraiyah Club
  1. Nikola VasiljG
  2. Abdulaziz Al-FarajD
  3. Hussain Al-SebyaniD
  4. Berat DjimsitiD
  5. Chancel MbembaD
  6. Idrissa Gana GueyeM
  7. Enzo MillotM
  8. Abdulelah Al-MalkiM
  9. Adil BoulbinaF
  10. Clayton DiandyF
  11. Darwin NúñezF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Fateh favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Diraiyah Club in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Fateh6 matchesAl-Diraiyah Club6 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.44 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.67 shots/match
46.7%Possession6/6● 47.8%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/69.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-FatehAl-Diraiyah Club
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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